- any individual senator can hold out for his or her favorite project issue (we saw that in the ACA negotiations--the senators from LA, AR, and NE at different times held out for something special)
- a senator may switch parties
- special elections to fill vacancies (first of all--the VA seat Kaine now holds) from resignations or death. Note most governors are Republicans, in cases where they have authority. Such elections will attract gobs of money.
Friday, October 07, 2016
The Senate may be controlled by the Democrats, but likely by a very slim margin. Based on our history, a 50/50 split or 51/49 split is going to be unstable. Among the events which can affect passage of a specific bill and/or control of the Senate (disregarding the likelihood of a filibuster and the need for 60 votes)