A quote from John Hinderaker's post-election analysis:
"At this point, Trump is a giant anvil around the neck of the Republican Party. In many areas, likely most, he is absolute poison. To be associated with Trump is to lose. Pretty much everything he has done in the last two years has been not just ill-advised but massively destructive to the Republican Party and to the United States."
For the past 3 national elections I've been fairly optimistic: disappointed in 2016, pleased in 2018 (though I tend to forget Republican gains in the Senate; happy in 2020. My optimism in each case was based on the polls.
Recently the polls have turned against the Democrats so I'm not optimistic for Tuesday (and the days and weeks after, since it may take that long to finally resolve some races). I won't venture predictions on the results.
I'm pessimistic about Democratic chances in 2022 to maintain the House majority. The Senate may be easier.
Here's a map for the Senate, showing Pennsylvania as a tossup and Georgia as leaning Democratic. I'm not sure about Georgia; the Republicans are working on changing the rules for voting. On the other hand, Sen. Warnock did do better than Ossoff.
In the House give the Republicans a pickup of 8-10 seats from redistricting and add in the historical loss by the majority party in mid-year elections and things look grim.
It's possible that Biden and the Democrats do a great job on covid and the economy, foreign affairs don't erupt into anything major, and the Republicans experience a lot of intra-party conflict resulting in weak candidates. It's possible, but I'm not hopeful.
