Chaos theory famously says that the flap of a butterfly's wing off Brazil could change the weather in the US. Path dependency says where you end up depends on where you start, that your choices are constrained by the initial conditions.
Freakonomics reports on a study which says, back when the Tea Parties first demonstrated, if the weather was good in the area the tea party grew larger and more powerful compared to the parties in areas where it rained.
Can I go from that and say if the night of the Boston Tea Party had seen a blizzard come in, we'd be celebrating our Queen's 60th year of rule?
No comments:
Post a Comment