Blogging on bureaucracy, organizations, USDA, agriculture programs, American history, the food movement, and other interests. Often contrarian, usually optimistic, sometimes didactic, occasionally funny, rarely wrong, always a nitpicker.
Friday, September 27, 2013
What Illegal Spying Is Not So Bad?
Seems that some of the cases where NSA employees definitely broke the law involved spying on significant others. See this piece. Somehow that makes NSA seem less fearsome to me, just a bunch of insecure men jealous of their lovers. Should the motive really make a difference when we're talking violations of privacy? No, but somehow.
Thursday, September 26, 2013
Another Sentence
From a Slate piece on Ted Cruz
" Susman laughed. "I will say this: Being a stud with girls on the debate circuit does not mean you’re a stud with girls."
A Sentence to Enjoy, on Sows
"Being nursed by a dozen hungry mouths is an extreme weight watcher’s diet plan." From Sugar Mountain Farm, in a post on the natural weaning process, and the human controlled process.
Wednesday, September 25, 2013
To Sea, Young Man, to Sea
Via Brad Delong's Grasping Reality with Both Hands, here's a study comparing the cost of college with the benefits of college. What interests me on the graphic is the outlying institutions--some with names you'd expect, but some not. For example, what's SUNY-Maritime doing so cheap and so rewarding?
I'm reminded of a high school math teacher, who returned to his alma mater after his predecessor died of diabetes (very much missed--Mr. Hayford), with a goatee! Now this was 1958, when all men were clean-shaven. But after leaving the Forks, Mr. Turna had gone off to the Merchant Marine academy and then spent some time at sea--I know he visited west African ports and as a mate had to bail out a crewman. The ladies were attracted to him (may be faulty memory, though then it seemed as if every male my age or older had a greater attraction for women than I) though not to the extent they took his senior-level trig, spherical geometry, and advanced algebra classes. We were still back in the dark ages then; such math wasn't for women.
I'm reminded of a high school math teacher, who returned to his alma mater after his predecessor died of diabetes (very much missed--Mr. Hayford), with a goatee! Now this was 1958, when all men were clean-shaven. But after leaving the Forks, Mr. Turna had gone off to the Merchant Marine academy and then spent some time at sea--I know he visited west African ports and as a mate had to bail out a crewman. The ladies were attracted to him (may be faulty memory, though then it seemed as if every male my age or older had a greater attraction for women than I) though not to the extent they took his senior-level trig, spherical geometry, and advanced algebra classes. We were still back in the dark ages then; such math wasn't for women.
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
Returns on Cows and Buffalos
Brad DeLong notes a study on the returns to owning cows and buffaloes in India. Bottom line is--it's not profitable in an economic sense. The speculation is that the labor of women has no value, economically, so there's no cost for women or children to tend cattle. Or, the return on formal savings instruments (i.e., savings accounts) is low and uncertain so there's a cultural preference to owning cattle. (I gather that while cows are sacred to Hindus, buffaloes aren't so the study treats them as almost interchangeable.)
Here's the NBER url. Strikes me that the economists don't devote enough attention to the calves The survey asked the people to estimate the value of a calf, which I assume meant guessing what the calf could be sold for on the open market. Now in economic theory I guess the price should reflect the value of retaining the calf. But maybe it doesn't--if the family has sufficient grazing land then the marginal cost of rearing a calf to maturity is relatively small--the labor cost of tending multiple animals instead of a single is almost zero.
Here's the NBER url. Strikes me that the economists don't devote enough attention to the calves The survey asked the people to estimate the value of a calf, which I assume meant guessing what the calf could be sold for on the open market. Now in economic theory I guess the price should reflect the value of retaining the calf. But maybe it doesn't--if the family has sufficient grazing land then the marginal cost of rearing a calf to maturity is relatively small--the labor cost of tending multiple animals instead of a single is almost zero.
Monday, September 23, 2013
Can't Figure the Figures--Crop Insurance
Via Farm Policy, an article in Choices magazine on crop insurance, co-written by Keith Collins, formerly chief economist of USDA and now working for the crop insurance industry.
I have to assume the figures are accurate, but this figure from the article blows my mind:
It's deflated by crop prices somehow but seems to show some $60 billion in CCC payments in 2000.
[updated as follows]
Looking at the EWG database, there were about $23.5 billion in payments in 2000, excluding crop insurance, so it looks as if the deflator almost triples the payments in 2000. While I can understand adjusting figures for inflation, i.e., using constant dollars, I don't the deflator. I went to the CBO site, which I don't understand too well, and couldn't find the backup data for this, just their projections for the future.
I have to assume the figures are accurate, but this figure from the article blows my mind:
It's deflated by crop prices somehow but seems to show some $60 billion in CCC payments in 2000.
[updated as follows]
Looking at the EWG database, there were about $23.5 billion in payments in 2000, excluding crop insurance, so it looks as if the deflator almost triples the payments in 2000. While I can understand adjusting figures for inflation, i.e., using constant dollars, I don't the deflator. I went to the CBO site, which I don't understand too well, and couldn't find the backup data for this, just their projections for the future.
Sunday, September 22, 2013
In the Old Days Legislators Were Good
Think so? Then hie thyselves over to Boston 1775 and read the story of Champagne Charlie Townshend.
Saturday, September 21, 2013
SOL Results for Fairfax County--Disturbing
Via the Reston Patch, here's the full release of results on the state Standards of Learning test for Fairfax county. The test changed this year so the release notes one can't directly compare these results with those for prior years.
That's fine, but. And it's a big but. What's noticeable to me is that the current year scores are down more for blacks, Hispanics, students with disabilities, economically disadvantaged, and limited English proficient than they are for whites and Asians. That pattern is disturbing because just a simple change of standards, making the test harder, shouldn't show it. Something else is going on.
The drop for whites is 7 points, for Asians 8, but 20 points for blacks, 21 for Hispanics and so on.
That's fine, but. And it's a big but. What's noticeable to me is that the current year scores are down more for blacks, Hispanics, students with disabilities, economically disadvantaged, and limited English proficient than they are for whites and Asians. That pattern is disturbing because just a simple change of standards, making the test harder, shouldn't show it. Something else is going on.
English Reading Performance
|
||||||
Student Group
|
Virginia
|
FCPS
|
||||
2010-11
|
2011-12
|
2012-13
|
2010-11
|
2011-12
|
2012-13
|
|
All Students |
88
|
89
|
75
|
93
|
94
|
82
|
Black |
80
|
80
|
59
|
87
|
88
|
68
|
Hispanic |
84
|
84
|
65
|
86
|
87
|
66
|
Asian |
94
|
95
|
87
|
96
|
96
|
88
|
Economically Disadvantaged |
80
|
81
|
59
|
85
|
86
|
63
|
Limited English Proficient |
79
|
80
|
54
|
85
|
86
|
59
|
Students with Disabilities |
67
|
66
|
43
|
85
|
84
|
56
|
White |
92
|
93
|
82
|
97
|
97
|
90
|
The drop for whites is 7 points, for Asians 8, but 20 points for blacks, 21 for Hispanics and so on.
Friday, September 20, 2013
Why You Can't Do FSA Programs on the Internet
I'm sure few farmers would like to be compared the patrons of a check-cashing service, but when I read this piece from a professor who studies such services by working at one, that's what I thought. Takes me back to the days of Sec. Glickman, and the effort led by someone whose name I forget, to follow through on reengineering business processes. A small part of the effort was doing customer satisfaction surveys, which was a brand new concept to us FSA types. After all, we were handing out money, so how could farmers not be satisfied with us? </end sarcasm>
Actually the surveys as I remember did find that farmers were quite satisfied with their local offices (perhaps excluding the farm loan applicants, I'm not sure). And the reason was simple--the <s>clerks</s> <s> program assistants</s> program technicians knew the farmers and could tailor their approach to the personality and needs of the individual. That fact was then a big hurdle to the idea of moving FSA programs on-line to the extent that people could work from home.
Actually the surveys as I remember did find that farmers were quite satisfied with their local offices (perhaps excluding the farm loan applicants, I'm not sure). And the reason was simple--the <s>clerks</s> <s> program assistants</s> program technicians knew the farmers and could tailor their approach to the personality and needs of the individual. That fact was then a big hurdle to the idea of moving FSA programs on-line to the extent that people could work from home.
Republican Farm Policy
Kevin Drum, probably the blogger whose views most coincide with mine, or rather vice versa, says that Republican farm policy makes perfect sense.
[edited to add]
I follow the Volokh Conspiracy, which just posted on the farm bill: crop insurance versus SNAP cuts issue. I sometimes comment there, but I'm abstaining this time. There's too much wrong and incomplete information there, probably because it's mostly a bunch of "city folk", as my mother would say.
[edited to add]
I follow the Volokh Conspiracy, which just posted on the farm bill: crop insurance versus SNAP cuts issue. I sometimes comment there, but I'm abstaining this time. There's too much wrong and incomplete information there, probably because it's mostly a bunch of "city folk", as my mother would say.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)