William Goodman said: "in Hollywood no body knows anything" about what makes for a hit movie.
One lesson from covid is the limitations of knowledge, of expertise. Over 2 years we've seen a lot of predictions, some were accurate within their frame, some were correct at the general level (i.e., the virus would mutate and the mutations would have different characteristics), but all had trouble tracking the changes over time.
Another lesson is how vulnerable we the public are to misinformation.
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