"In general, I feel that I’ve experienced a strong pattern in which
uncovering new information about an organization or intervention (which I
previously understood only at a superficial level) tends to lower
rather than raise my confidence in it."
From a post at Givewell.org,written in reference to evaluating NGO desirability as objects of giving. I'm not whether I got there from Chris Blattman or Roving Bandit, but I think the statement applies broadly, specifically in the sayings about not looking too closely at how sausage is made. As a general rule, we over-generalize, based on limited information and the reality is much more complicated than we think.
No comments:
Post a Comment