James Mann writes "The Rebellion of Ronald Reagan". It's an interesting and reasonably convincing narrative, which is saying something because, back in the day, I used to call Reagan the "senior idiot". Mann argues while others, both the Nixonian realists and the conservatives, were locked into their old perceptions Reagan was able to recognize an opportunity when Gorbachev came to power. Reagan's negotiations with Gorbachev meant Gorbachev got enough support and credibility to maintain his power and take the actions which led to the end of the Iron Curtain.
Reagan often evaded conflict or other unpleasantness by telling stories, essentially filibustering the time away. Mann notes this pattern, and suggests it may have been a conscious strategy, not just the deep reflex of a child of an alcoholic father.
Mann's thesis is easier for liberals to accept than the conventional triumphalism of the conservatives, particularly because Mann notes the extent to which conservatives other than Reagan and Schultz were wrong.
Blogging on bureaucracy, organizations, USDA, agriculture programs, American history, the food movement, and other interests. Often contrarian, usually optimistic, sometimes didactic, occasionally funny, rarely wrong, always a nitpicker.
Sunday, October 04, 2009
On Not Knowing Your Farmer
James McWilliams writes at the Times of the pros and cons of farmers markets. There are some extroverts who want a social interaction with their vendors; others of us want an arms-length transaction.
Affirmative Action Works?
It does, at least for women judges, and under one theory. See this Slate article reporting on academic paper.
While women selected to be federal judges generally had lesser qualifications (based on some metrics), once selected they performed as well or better than male judges (based on some metrics).
While women selected to be federal judges generally had lesser qualifications (based on some metrics), once selected they performed as well or better than male judges (based on some metrics).
And We Return to Where It All Began, Oilwise
"Pennsylvania is at the forefront of the nation’s gas drilling boom, with at least 4,000 new oil and gas wells drilled here last year alone, more than in any other state except Texas." From Propublica article on the problems caused.
Saturday, October 03, 2009
Another EEO Review at USDA
According to this announcement (they're hiring a firm to do a review).
Meanwhile the Hispanic farmers lawsuit is raised again:
Meanwhile the Hispanic farmers lawsuit is raised again:
There is still a law suit that dates back years ago with thousands of claims from Hispanic farmers saying they were discriminated against. A similar case was settled for African American farmers, resulting in $2.5 billion. Hispanic farmers want to know where's their money and what's wrong with their case. However, because of logistics and the fact that the case was not certified as a class-action lawsuit there are too many separate claims and Vilsack said it's not so easy.
“If it were up to me, I could,” said Vilsack. “But I need direction from congress, either to set the process up or give me money and say go figure the process out. I don't have either one of these right now.”
Friday, October 02, 2009
The Image of China
The Times and the Post both feature the same picture on their front page, above the fold: an image of Chinese sailors marching in the parades commemorating the 60th anniversary of the establishment of the Chinese People's Republic.(Here's the slide show, I think the photo was different than slide 3, but same subject. See this video of other images via The Best Defense.) It's striking partially because it's overexposed, so the white trousers of the sailors blend together.
It's also striking to me as a former civilian in the military by how well dressed the lines are. For those who never had the duty of serving, "dress right, dress" is the command sergeants use to tell their troops to align on the person to the right. If everyone aligns well, you get a straight line of troops. The military components of the ceremony must have spent days and months of dressing right.
The other striking thing also plays off the symmetry and geometry on display: the uniformity of the troops. Not just the spotless uniforms, but everyone is the same height and weight, give or take a couple pounds and an inch. That's what 5,000 years of history as a relatively common culture will do. Supposed 9 of 10 Chinese citizens are of Han descent. Even in the other photos in the Times slide show there's great uniformity: the leaders are male and roughly the same height and weight. Even when I reflect back, remembering a photo from early in the Bush II years, of a signing ceremony (maybe tax cuts) where it was striking the uniformity of white male faces, you'd never get that uniformity in the U.S.
While I'm sure the commanders of the ceremonial troops look for uniformity--if I recall, the members of the ceremonial Old Guard at Arlington cemetery have height and weight restrictions--the difference between the two societies is still notable. But there is one photo in the slide show showing Chinese civilians watching the ceremonies. In my youth, even my middle age, they would have been dressed the same. But no more. There's still an impression of physical sameness, but dress and grooming are now individual.
It's also striking to me as a former civilian in the military by how well dressed the lines are. For those who never had the duty of serving, "dress right, dress" is the command sergeants use to tell their troops to align on the person to the right. If everyone aligns well, you get a straight line of troops. The military components of the ceremony must have spent days and months of dressing right.
The other striking thing also plays off the symmetry and geometry on display: the uniformity of the troops. Not just the spotless uniforms, but everyone is the same height and weight, give or take a couple pounds and an inch. That's what 5,000 years of history as a relatively common culture will do. Supposed 9 of 10 Chinese citizens are of Han descent. Even in the other photos in the Times slide show there's great uniformity: the leaders are male and roughly the same height and weight. Even when I reflect back, remembering a photo from early in the Bush II years, of a signing ceremony (maybe tax cuts) where it was striking the uniformity of white male faces, you'd never get that uniformity in the U.S.
While I'm sure the commanders of the ceremonial troops look for uniformity--if I recall, the members of the ceremonial Old Guard at Arlington cemetery have height and weight restrictions--the difference between the two societies is still notable. But there is one photo in the slide show showing Chinese civilians watching the ceremonies. In my youth, even my middle age, they would have been dressed the same. But no more. There's still an impression of physical sameness, but dress and grooming are now individual.
Hypocrite of the Year?
A shoe-thrower in Turkey protesting globalization and the IMF may have tossed a Nike? From the NYTimes
Thursday, October 01, 2009
Idealistic Dreaming by a USDA Official
From Farm Policy
The problem is, you've got to distribute the money among the states and crops. And note he was testifying to House Ag, not the appropriations subcommittee.
Reuters writer Roberta Rampton reported yesterday that, “The U.S. Agriculture Department could get better results from its agricultural research spending if it focused on a narrower list of priorities, the USDA’s top research official said on Wednesday.
“Rajiv Shah, the USDA’s undersecretary for research, education and economics, told a Congressional hearing that ‘the next six months will be a time of great organizational evolution’ as he reviews research conducted by USDA scientists as well as grants it gives to external research bodies.
“‘To do agricultural research really well, and to do it in a way that generates real benefits for people, we really believe that you have to focus for a long time on a specific, narrow set of scientific problems,’ Shah told Reuters after the hearing of a U.S. House agriculture subcommittee.”
Whatever Happened to Employee Suggestions
That's my reaction to the use of Web 2.0 techniques to elicit ideas from employees. Back in the olden days, when typewriters existed and were made of wood, ASCS had an employee suggestion program--write up an idea, send it up the line, to some near-sighted bureaucrat who would turn it down with all the reasons why it wouldn't work, was too expensive, was inappropriate, wasn't invented in DC, etc. etc.
A few suggestions were approved--but that was tricky. Personnel had a formula for determining the award amount for approving a suggestion. Something that would apply nationwide was worth more than something just for a state or commodity. So you had to figure out how to slot an approved suggestion into the mix with other suggestions so as to get an award amount that made sense.
One that was approved was for field employees to use the IBM data handling utilities (originally it was the Data File Utility, then upgraded to Query/36.) on the System/36 to do things without waiting upon DC and the Kansas City programmers. We had a struggle to get the right award amount approved for that. So it's nice to see DC is still occasionally using the software, even 20 years later.
A few suggestions were approved--but that was tricky. Personnel had a formula for determining the award amount for approving a suggestion. Something that would apply nationwide was worth more than something just for a state or commodity. So you had to figure out how to slot an approved suggestion into the mix with other suggestions so as to get an award amount that made sense.
One that was approved was for field employees to use the IBM data handling utilities (originally it was the Data File Utility, then upgraded to Query/36.) on the System/36 to do things without waiting upon DC and the Kansas City programmers. We had a struggle to get the right award amount approved for that. So it's nice to see DC is still occasionally using the software, even 20 years later.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
The Problems of Farmers Markets for the Poor
From the experience of an LA market:
And, in today's Times, there was an article on a development in the Bronx, where there's a fight over including a supermarket. As best I can tell, a supermarket is needed, but there's already a small chain in the Bronx which has cemented alliances with community activists, and is opposing the additional competition.
"On a recent visit to the Harambee site, there were few visible signs of a vibrant farmers market. There were only three booths, with only one — Williamson’s — providing fresh fruits and vegetables.In part it's the old problem of a vicious circle, one problem feeds on another which feeds on another. Minorities don't have the income, so they focus on the cheapest calories, which are unhealthiest, meaning more sickness, and since they are less likely to have health insurance (except Medicaid in some cases) they get worse, meaning they're less reliable workers, meaning more likely to be fired, meaning less income, meaning no cars, etc. etc. All of which means poor returns for those who try to serve the minority market.
Several years ago, the area was booming with Black farmers and produce. But according to Williamson, who set up shop there three years ago, many of the farmers either died, were too old to continue farming, moved on to flourishing farmers markets like the one in Hollywood, or simply could no longer afford it."
And, in today's Times, there was an article on a development in the Bronx, where there's a fight over including a supermarket. As best I can tell, a supermarket is needed, but there's already a small chain in the Bronx which has cemented alliances with community activists, and is opposing the additional competition.
Management Lessons
I liked this list of 10 lessons for managers who want to change things from Government Executive. I won't claim to have been particularly successful, but they make sense to me. I'm not sure that President Obama is following them, particularly the "limit your goals" one.
It Takes a While to Change Agency Names
See this article on the Livestock Forage Disaster Program which uses the "Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service" (quoting someone who probably had a senior moment) from Seguin and Guadeloupe counties, TX. There's also a complaint about the crop insurance requirement:
Federal relief for farmers is tied to a number of requirements that weren’t completely clear — including a requirement that those who apply for aid have crop or livestock insurance, which many smaller operations don’t carry.
“They had to take certain steps or be participants in certain programs in order to be eligible for assistance,” Wiggins said. “My question is, if a farmer has insurance, why would they need to apply for assistance?” [Exactly so :-) ]
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
The Learning Curve for Fluorescents
This Treehugger piece on choosing fluorescent bulbs notes the learning curve:
When you used to go into the hardware store, you were faced with a wide array of different shapes and wattages of bulbs, different ratings for lifetimes, there were dozens, if not hundreds of choices.
When people look at CFLs, they have no frame of reference of a lifetime of bulb shopping and just pick the cheap spirals and stick them everywhere. They don't go in pot lights, they shouldn't go upside down, and they should be chosen according to the specific condition, just like you used to when you bought a spot for a pot and a seven watter for the fridge. It is no more complicated.
Females Are Bigger, Dairy Industry Suffers
We can blame females for adding to the ills of dairy farmers. Turns out because the X chromosone weighs more than the Y, bull sperm can be fairly reliably separated into male and female. So, inseminate your cows with sperm with the X chromosone, you'll very likely have female calves. And when the calf matures and is bred, you'll have another milk producer, which is just what dairy farmers need in an era of over-production and low prices.
The NYTimes article (click on title) says the sperm-weighing process became available in 2006, so the impact is just hitting.
(I note one of the dairymen quoted in the piece sounds Dutch--the Dutch have been migrating to the US for our cheaper land.)
The NYTimes article (click on title) says the sperm-weighing process became available in 2006, so the impact is just hitting.
(I note one of the dairymen quoted in the piece sounds Dutch--the Dutch have been migrating to the US for our cheaper land.)
Monday, September 28, 2009
Defending Our Liberty--NYPD and FBI
Mr. Zazi's case, as described in the NYTimes, reveals how our governmental structure protects our liberty.
I've mentioned Understanding America (at least I thought I had, though search does not find it--anyway it's a collection of essays on various topics emulating Tocqueville)--I think it's James Q Wilson who writes in the essay on the legal system, while Britain has essentially one police department, we have many thousands. In the op-ed I link to, Mr. Sheehan describes the tensions and infighting between the FBI and the NYPD, which since 9/11 has developed its anti-terrorism units and deployed even overseas. My point is, although my lead sentence is a bit sarcastic, basically the US relies not on efficient and effective government, but on our decentralized ineffective governments to protect liberties. As a bureaucrat, I mourn that preference; as a failed historian, I understand it.
I've mentioned Understanding America (at least I thought I had, though search does not find it--anyway it's a collection of essays on various topics emulating Tocqueville)--I think it's James Q Wilson who writes in the essay on the legal system, while Britain has essentially one police department, we have many thousands. In the op-ed I link to, Mr. Sheehan describes the tensions and infighting between the FBI and the NYPD, which since 9/11 has developed its anti-terrorism units and deployed even overseas. My point is, although my lead sentence is a bit sarcastic, basically the US relies not on efficient and effective government, but on our decentralized ineffective governments to protect liberties. As a bureaucrat, I mourn that preference; as a failed historian, I understand it.
Sunday, September 27, 2009
Enough Doctors?
I've suggested we need more medical personnel if health care reform goes through. Here's a contrary opinion
passed on by Ezra Klein here.
passed on by Ezra Klein here.
Saturday, September 26, 2009
Catch the Movie then the Interviews
Wife and I saw The Informant this week. We ended up really liking it. Then C-Span reran its interviews with the author of the book, Kurt Eichenwald, which I caught part of, but the transcript is here. As he says, a betrayal of capitalism. And, incidentally, a revelation of how what C.Wright Mills called "the power elite" works. It's a great story, but I'm too cheap to buy the book; I've got it on hold at the library.
Great Piece on Health Care
Via Marginal Revolution, this piece describes how airline travel would work if it was run like health care. It's good for a laugh, and some thought.
Friday, September 25, 2009
Sometimes I Think Free Marketeers May Be Right
This post on the USDA blog boasts about the new advances:
MyFood-a-pediashould be your first stop. Here you’ll find quick access to nutrition information for over 1,000 foods.[emphasis added] MyFood-a-pedia has calorie count information and can help you figure out how what you’re eating contributes to your health. It also shows the number of “extra” calories in foods from solid fats, added sugars and alcohol.Sounds good, right? But then I remembered reading Ms. Slatalla's Thursday column in the NYTimes about her efforts to reduce her middle age spread:
Lose It! [an Iphone app] has its own database listing the calories in a few thousand different foods. And if a food was not listed? I could always find it in another iPhone app, the LiveStrong calorie counter, which lists 450,000 foods.So maybe Mr. Vilsack should call Mr. Jobs? (I actually doubt there's 450,000 foods in the world, but maybe food/quantity combos is reasonable. Anyway, rather than nitpicking the Times again, the important point is this is a case where private initiative can do better than the government. What USDA should do is doublecheck the data Lose It! uses.)
Food and Population
Farm Income Drops
From Farm Policy:
“The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts farm income of $49.1 billion in 2009 when adjusted for inflation. That would be a 39% drop from 2008, a record year when U.S. farmers earned $80.4 billion after expenses.That's a bigger drop than most in this recession, though housing prices are falling further in some areas, I believe.
Greg Craig and Guantanamo
The Post has a piece saying Mr. Craig is off the Guantanamo issue. Craig says he thought there was a consensus to close Guantanamo, instead he's run into resistance from both sides of the aisle. Understanding Government has a post on it. I differ with their conclusion by going back to Tip O'Neill's saying: "all politics is local"--in other words, not in my backyard. The whole country could agree on putting the detainees in the Yucca Mountain repository, except for Nevada (whoops, that's nuclear waste). I don't see any of the left demonstrating in the streets in favor of any particular prison. Hypocrites, all.
Ted Turner Is the Son of John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
This is from the 1930 Blog:
Largest contributors to League of Nations are Britain $559,712; US $450,000, and Germany $429,728. Of US contribution about $430,000 is private, mostly from John D. Rockefeller, Jr. US is not a member of the League.(Ted Turner gave a billion to the UN several years ago. This JDRjr tidbit is a reminder of the internationalist outlook of some of the elites--Carnegie before WWI.)
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Overconfidence Helps, But Why Underconfidence
Technology Review has a piece on why overconfidence (the idea one is an above-average driver, etc.) is evoluntarily sound.
In fact, overconfidence is actually advantageous on average, because it boosts ambition, resolve, morale, and persistence. In other words, overconfidence is the best way to maximize benefits over costs when risks are uncertain.So why are some people lacking in confidence (as in social relations), why do that evolve?
Diversity and Races
The past was a different time. I stumbled across this in an article discussing the emigration from Ireland as a result of the Great Famine. It's interesting to see the use of "races". And the social analysis:
Since it must be so - since so large a part of our British fellow-subjects must join a foreign allegiance, or a colony all but independent, we rejoice to see, in this inevitable event, the providential means of a beneficial mixture of races. The history of this island shows by how many invasions, conquests, compromises, and fusions of races the British character has attained its noble though composite excellence. A walk in our villages or streets, the survey of a market, a church, or a dinner table, will bear out the truth of history that Britons, Romans, Saxons, Danes, Normans, Dutch, Flemish, French, and even more races, go to the happy composition of an Englishman and English society. Hence the versatility, hence the enlarged sympathies of the race. It is ascribed to our position in a fluctuating climate, and temperate zone, that we are able to adapt ourselves to any region of the earth, and pass with little injury to extremes of heat and cold. To an unparalleled variety of national ingredients, and the kindred facts of our complex social state and mixed constitution, we owe it that we excel in so many departments of human ambitions, and enjoy so many internal sources of prosperity and happiness. The experience of our own good fortune makes us wish to see the Celtic race allied to more vigorous and fortunate elements. The fates, however, seem to forbid that fusion in these islands. The Celt calls Ireland his own, and is jealous of interlopers, while in England also our superior wealth and cultivation have created an Interval which can seldom be passed. Religion also stands in the way. That part, too, of our industrial system which would otherwise offer the best opening for union and improvement is too full and too fixed to admit a Celtic Immigration. A Connaughtman may bring his family into Manchester and hide them in a cellar, but he could hardly get a night's lodging in an agricultural village, except once a year, for himself and his sickle. Now America supplies the opportunities of national fusion and perfection which are impossible at home. In those vast and thinly-peopled countries labour is precious, has friends and elbow-room, finds openings and opportunities every where, and, what is more, feels itself neither intruder nor exclusive owner, but simply a free citizen on a free soil.
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
The Complexities of the Earth for Liberals
I consider myself a liberal, mostly, but the world is sometimes too complicated. Consider today's NYTimes:
- liberals like historical preservation, but Greensburg, KS was leveled by a tornado. The result, as they build from scratch, is highly environmental friendly town. Lesson: there's trade-offs between history and efficiency. Technology in this case is a friend to the environment.
- a judge rules USDA needed to do an environmental impact statement before approving GMO sugar beets. But there's the claim: "Mr. Grant, who is also the chairman of the Snake River Sugar Company, a grower-owned cooperative, said easier weed control allowed farmers to reduce tillage, which in turn saved fuel and fertilizer and reduced erosion." People don't realize it takes significantly less energy per unit of output now than in 1970 for most major crops, precisely because of such advances in technology.
- the UN bought carbon offsets for the cost of its meeting on climate. "They offset those emissions by directing money to a power project in rural Andhra Pradesh, India, through which agricultural leftovers like rice husks and sunflower stalks are turned into electricity for the local grid." I always shudder when I hear such promotion of this use of biomass. Don't people recognize that organic farming requires the return to the soil of organic matter, such as rice husks and sunflower stalks? Otherwise you're mining the soil, to use a familiar idiom.
- an article describes a decade of stability in global temperatures and the problems it creates for people pushing the fight against global warming.
Tuesday, September 22, 2009
K Street Lobbyists and Other Trivia
Time for my dentist visit today. His office is in DC near K St and 20th. As usual I got downtown with time to spare, so I spent it people-watching. My impressions:
- K street lobbyists and their support staff and the others who work in the K street area are not obese. I may have seen more women who could put on 5 pounds than people who were obese.
- the briefcase is totally passe. Mostly I saw canvas bags which could have been laptop carriers, sometimes carried by the handle, sometimes with a shoulder strap. That's probably mostly male.
- backpacks are in. Saw a lot on both men and women.
- suits and ties are an endangered species. There were some men in the full getup, but it wasn't the majority. Add in men with tie but no jacket and men with jacket but no tie and you'd get closer to a majority.
Most Annoying Headline Today
In Treehugger: Undisturbed, Prehistoric Sand Dune Discovered at Michigan State University.
I specifically object to "Prehistoric"--it's too broad. I live in the watershed of the pre-historic Potomac River. I've forgotten most of my geology, but it almost sounds as if the dune might qualify for this headline: "Sand Dune at MSU Survived Last Glacier, and Man". If it really is a sand "dune", that to me implies it was created by wind. It could be a sand "bar", created by water during the ice age.
I specifically object to "Prehistoric"--it's too broad. I live in the watershed of the pre-historic Potomac River. I've forgotten most of my geology, but it almost sounds as if the dune might qualify for this headline: "Sand Dune at MSU Survived Last Glacier, and Man". If it really is a sand "dune", that to me implies it was created by wind. It could be a sand "bar", created by water during the ice age.
Monday, September 21, 2009
Webinar's for Government
I see FSA is sponsoring a webinar.
I've never participated in one, but I applaud the attempt to try something new (although I noted the other day NASCOE cited some problems with some new training using the web). Anyhow, it's a learning experience.
And having mentioned NASCOE, their new website is progressing. I still wish they'd be more adventurous, but it seems as if it will be an improvement.
I've never participated in one, but I applaud the attempt to try something new (although I noted the other day NASCOE cited some problems with some new training using the web). Anyhow, it's a learning experience.
And having mentioned NASCOE, their new website is progressing. I still wish they'd be more adventurous, but it seems as if it will be an improvement.
The Times Gets It Wrong [Or Maybe Not]
Unfortunately, urban myths circulate in many areas. Sunday Andrew Martin of the NY Times wrote:
Meanwhile, USDA in 2008 wrote:
[Updated: I had made my point in an email to the NYTimes. Mr. Martin wrote back a response which says the wording could have been improved but the thought was correct, citing a conversation with Ron Trostle of ERS. I'll try to research further.]
While the food supply grew faster than the world’s population from 1970 to 1990, as the Green Revolution’s gains took hold, the situation has now reversed itself. Productivity gains in agriculture have slowed, and since 1990, the growth rate of food production has fallen below population growth.This, of course, is not true, even though it's a prevalent concept. Via Wikipeda we learn that the rate of world population growth has declined:
In 2000, the United Nations estimated that the world's population was growing at the rate of 1.14% (or about 75 million people) per year,[27] down from a peak of 88 million per year in 1989. In the last few centuries, the number of people living on Earth has increased many times over. By the year 2000, there were 10 times as many people on Earth as there were 300 years ago. According to data from the CIA's 2005–2006 World Factbooks, the world human population increased by 203,800 every day.[28] The CIA Factbook increased this to 211,090 people every day in 2007, and again to 220,980 people every day in 2009.
Globally, the population growth rate has been steadily declining from its peak of 2.19% in 1963, but growth remains high in Latin America, the Middle East and Sub-Saharan Africa.[29]
Meanwhile, USDA in 2008 wrote:
The annual growth rate in the production of aggregate grains and oilseedsThe ERS publication shows an increase in per-capita production in the period 1990-2007 and projects it to continue for the next 10 years, although at a much slower pace.
has been slowing. Between 1970 and 1990, production rose an average
2.2 percent per year. Since 1990, the growth rate has declined to about 1.3
percent. USDA’s 10-year agricultural projections for U.S. and world agriculture
see the rate declining to 1.2 percent per year between 2009 and 2017.1
[Updated: I had made my point in an email to the NYTimes. Mr. Martin wrote back a response which says the wording could have been improved but the thought was correct, citing a conversation with Ron Trostle of ERS. I'll try to research further.]
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Service Oriented Architecture--Is It Alive or Dead? [Title Updated]
Following a sequence of links on service-oriented architecture, came upon an interesting discussion of the insurance industry vis a vis IT and this (in the context of the problems of developing "services" which apply to multiple situations):
Practices like this prevent any form of "standard insured" from being developed in the insurance industry. No insurance businessman will support this because there are nuances and implications built into the idea of an "insured" that are different for each product type. To see this, what happens when a covered person has no brain activity but is on a life support system; are they dead and does a life insurance policy have to pay, or are they alive and the medical insurance policy has to pay. In reality, life insurance policies assume you're dead when a death certificate is written, because doctors will only sign a document for people they pronounce as "dead". All of the language in a life insurance policy surrounding the word "insured" assumes this to be true. But some medical insurance policies assume you're dead when your organs can be harvested for transplantation, even without a death certificate. And all of the language surrounding their term "insured" works to limit the medical policy's liability within this context. So such a person is neither alive nor dead, and it will take a court case to decide which policy is liable. A software service could only deny all payment given these rules.
These kinds of "business context" assumptions are ultimately coded into the business rules of the systems and they make it very difficult to identify the differences between systems and the data resources the systems manage. As a result, it is difficult to decide what a "service" is and what it should do.
Software developers need to understand that a service can only exist within an operating context; business people need to understand the an address is an address every place it appears. And while software systems might be able to standardize the data of an "insured", and they may be able to standardized the relationship between a policy and its "insured", the business context will always limit how the data is used, and the service will always have to include this business context. This means that every service will either provide just data, or the service will be specific to a business context, but unless the business itself is defined to use standard contexts, the services can never be shared between contexts.It's this sort of thing which also causes problems in merging organizations, in handling silos, etc.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Google for Bureaucrats
Google provides a page listing its services which might help the poor bureaucrat.
Here's an excerpt which highlights one of my pet peeves with government web sites, and offers a fix, of course:
Here's an excerpt which highlights one of my pet peeves with government web sites, and offers a fix, of course:
As many as four of five Internet users reach government and other public sector websites by using Google and other search engines.* The problem is that such websites often provide access to information, like public records, through a database application, and our "crawlers" generally can't access and thereby index the webpages in these databases. This means that much of the public information on these websites isn't included in Google's index, and that many search engine users could be missing out on the information and services that your website offers.Calling the "..ra boys" (Kundra and Chopra). Please pay attention.
Friday, September 18, 2009
Technological Silos in the ER
Informational silos refers to the idea that different organizational structures cannot communicate with each other--classically the only way the pre-WWII Navy and the Army communicated was through the President.
Interesting piece at Technology Review discussing the fact that medical devices don't talk to each other. Each device is the outcome of a long process of evolutionary development and improvement, aimed at one problem. But when they're attached to/monitoring the same patient, they need to talk. Or, as is said in Cool Hand Luke: "what we have here is failure to communicate".
Interesting piece at Technology Review discussing the fact that medical devices don't talk to each other. Each device is the outcome of a long process of evolutionary development and improvement, aimed at one problem. But when they're attached to/monitoring the same patient, they need to talk. Or, as is said in Cool Hand Luke: "what we have here is failure to communicate".
Dana Milbank on the Obama Farmers Market
Dana Milbank is a columnist for the Post who snarks everyone. Today he mocks the Obama Farmers Market. The prices he quotes are too high for federal employees, at least those who support a family and are saving to put kids through college. (Over at Volokh Conspiracy, Orin Kerr cites the case of a Federal judge resigning because the pay is too low.) Meanwhile, Obamafoodorama gushes over Michelle's speech and leadership. (I'm trying to resist the urge to imagine what the right may do in 2012 with Milbank's material. All too easy to mock this as elitism for the few, far far away from the plight of the jobless and the middle class.)
"You'd Expect Presidents to Wear Socks"
Best line I've seen so far today--from Eugene Volokh's post attacking monarchy and suggesting elective kings or queens.
Thursday, September 17, 2009
History of Jobs
Via a couple sites (Marginal Revolution and others), here's an interactive graphic showing change of jobs over the last 150 years. (Launch the full screen version for best readability.) Some interesting trends: farming down, clerical up, etc. But who would have known the proportion of the labor force serving as waitresses would have dropped from 1960 to 2000? Or that clergymen would have maintained their proportion over the years?
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Problems of Locavore Agriculture
Obamafoodorama has a post on various ag issues, including the problems faced by a farm in the DC metro area.
Some challenges: Georgia and Zach lease their land, for a shockingly high amount of monthly rent. They’ve spent thousands of dollars and thousands of hours boosting the quality of their soil with amendments in order to grow better vegetables—but when their lease is up, they’ll have to start over elsewhere. There’s a huge problem with deer eating their crops; the growing area is fenced, but better, deer-secure fencing is incredibly expensive. Figuring out better direct marketing techniques would help, too; Zach and Georgia could have a big local CSA project where they sold to near-by residents, instead of having to drive more than an hour to DC for farmers markets. Although DC is considered local in food speak, it’s not Georgia and Zach’s own community—so they’re “relocating” their wealth elsewhere, as well as spending money on gas—and contributing to greenhouse problems.
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
A Third Surprising Statistic
From the NY Times today in an article on the possible banning of smoking from New York City's parks. Apparently after the Mayor got smoking banned in restaurants and pubs the smoking rate dropped from about 20 percent to about 16 percent.
Why Are We Fat--We're Capitalists
Cornell has a study out which says:
The study found that fathers who worked long hours or had non-standard schedules were more likely to use takeout meals, miss family meals, purchase prepared entrees and eat while working. Working mothers in the study who worked under similar conditions purchased restaurant meals or prepared entrees or missed breakfast significantly more often than other women. About a quarter of mothers and fathers said they did not have access to healthful, reasonably priced or good-tasting food at or near work.One of the things celebrated about our economy is our flexibility and hard work, the idea that unlike France people can and do change locations and jobs, meaning the economy is more friendly to innovation and change. But the quote suggests we pay a price for that on our waistline.
The Next Most Surprising Statistic Today--Fruits and Vegetable Consumption Increased
(After the teachers from the Philippines in the previous post), this quote surprised me:
While consumption of fresh fruits and vegetables has increased from about 192 pounds over the course of a year in 1970 to 280 pounds in 2008, the risk of food-borne diseases associated with fresh produce has also increased.
Importing Professionals
One thing which struck me in the papers this morning is a statistic from Baltimore--10 percent of its teachers now come from the Philippines. (A while back the Post had an article about a teacher from there who worked in Prince Georges County, but I didn't realize the trend was exploding so fast.)
Monday, September 14, 2009
E-Gov at USDA/FSA
I've always been curious how many farmers actually make use of the e-government options on the USDA website. ("Always" = 1992, back in the old days with Infoshare, which was a pilot project initiated by the Republican administration. The project had lots of hype, but it wasn't clear how many farmers could take advantage.) Now I've seen an indication of the answer. USDA has submitted for OMB a collection of information under the Paperwork Reduction Act for the USDA's e-authorization process, the means by which a USDA customer gets a login/password. Level 1 has minimal security requiresments; Level 2 permits doing business on-line, such as applying for benefits, but requires in-person verification. The estimate of usage is 40,088 for level 1 and 18,088 for level 2.
That seems small, given the option has been available for a number of years. Why isn't the usage higher--my suspicions:"Build it and they will come" doesn't work But that's probably what's happened in USDA--people have built different functions and put them out, but without any nurturing. The way FSA is organized there's no one in charge of e-government programs, no one to watch how much usage there is, to figure out where the problems are and what the fixes might be. Conversely, FSA has 70+ years experience of trying to improve service through county offices.
It's also true these e-government options probably don't have great potential to benefit the farmer. Someone who farms in multiple counties might gain, but I doubt they'd gain much. To see what I mean, look at a contrasting application, Treasury Direct: If you want to buy a bond from the Treasury Department, you used to have to establish a paper account with an FRB. Most peopel did their purchases through brokers, paying the service fee. But with the Internet you can buy on-line without ever talking to a live body at Treasury or exchanging a piece of paper, or paying a transaction fee.
I think e-government won't advance much at FSA until either they reorganize to make it a focus on the program side and/or they're able to provide access to all of the farmer's information, particularly GIS data. Or maybe integrate FSA GIS with the farmer's own record keeping software?
That seems small, given the option has been available for a number of years. Why isn't the usage higher--my suspicions:"Build it and they will come" doesn't work But that's probably what's happened in USDA--people have built different functions and put them out, but without any nurturing. The way FSA is organized there's no one in charge of e-government programs, no one to watch how much usage there is, to figure out where the problems are and what the fixes might be. Conversely, FSA has 70+ years experience of trying to improve service through county offices.
It's also true these e-government options probably don't have great potential to benefit the farmer. Someone who farms in multiple counties might gain, but I doubt they'd gain much. To see what I mean, look at a contrasting application, Treasury Direct: If you want to buy a bond from the Treasury Department, you used to have to establish a paper account with an FRB. Most peopel did their purchases through brokers, paying the service fee. But with the Internet you can buy on-line without ever talking to a live body at Treasury or exchanging a piece of paper, or paying a transaction fee.
I think e-government won't advance much at FSA until either they reorganize to make it a focus on the program side and/or they're able to provide access to all of the farmer's information, particularly GIS data. Or maybe integrate FSA GIS with the farmer's own record keeping software?
Getting Out
The Times has a piece on the various measures we collectively call "bail-outs", including a discussion of the difficulty of getting out, of unwinding. It reminds me of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, an entity created under the Hoover administration which made loans for various purposes, over the years amounting to close to twice the annual government budget under Hoover. It took until 1957 to wind down its affairs and close the doors. x
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Grand Plans and Sad Realities
All too often people of my stripe get carried away by the brilliance of their own ideas. And sometimes they are able to convince others, convince enough others to get them implemented, at least in part. But when the idea meets the rude reality, the resulting heat is often enough to melt the best idea.
Prof. Negroponte of MIT had such an idea, a simple, tough laptop for the third world. Here's a progress report.
Prof. Negroponte of MIT had such an idea, a simple, tough laptop for the third world. Here's a progress report.
My Mind, What's Left, Is Blown
From the NYTimes:
Vietnam, for years a bitter foe of the United States, is now a friend. The clearest evidence of how far things have changed may be the Ho Chi Minh Golf Trail, a route that connects more than a half-dozen luxury golf courses and resorts. (Like its namesake, the golf trail runs north-south, but presumably the resemblance ends there.)Who would have thought, when the Johnson administration was debating whether to bomb the Ho Chi Minh trail, they were really debating whether to help create sand traps and water hazards for wealthy golfers?
Saturday, September 12, 2009
In Defense of Bureaucrats
Mr. Stier in the Washington Post writes an op-ed saying bureaucrats "...deserve better from their president. As the nation's leading public servant, you are their boss, and they take their cues from you." He's upset by Obama's references to government bureaucrats in the healthcare debate and ends "...you should avoid demoralizing those who are serving their country by portraying them as nameless, faceless "bureaucrats."
I think that's a lost cause--defaming bureaucrats is now too deeply engrained in the political psyche to reverse. Our only comfort is knowing that while politicians come and go, the bureaucrat endures forever.
I think that's a lost cause--defaming bureaucrats is now too deeply engrained in the political psyche to reverse. Our only comfort is knowing that while politicians come and go, the bureaucrat endures forever.
Friday, September 11, 2009
Milestones and Memory
The Post today has a nice piece on a schoolteacher using a 9/11 curriculum package to teach the event. It's a reminder that 8 years means there are students who don't really remember 9/11.
It's also a reminder of something I thought of watching the commentary on Ted Kennedy's death. It's been 40+ years since he was elected Senator, so anyone under 55 probably doesn't remember that, despite all the glowing memories and statements about how "we all" remember (the RFK eulogy, probably). Anyone under 60 wasn't really impacted by JFK's death. Few personally recall HST (I claim to be precocious.) We may live on the same earth but we remember distinctly different worlds.
It's also a reminder of something I thought of watching the commentary on Ted Kennedy's death. It's been 40+ years since he was elected Senator, so anyone under 55 probably doesn't remember that, despite all the glowing memories and statements about how "we all" remember (the RFK eulogy, probably). Anyone under 60 wasn't really impacted by JFK's death. Few personally recall HST (I claim to be precocious.) We may live on the same earth but we remember distinctly different worlds.
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Kevin Drum on the Blogosphere
If you're at all interested in adult commentary and the blogosphere, read this interview with Kevin Drum.
Organics = Liberal
That's why they can get away with such items for their committee to consider as "Personal Body Care Standards". I can just hear what some on the right wing might make of that.
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