- the World Health Organization declares processed red meat to increase the risk of cancer (not IMHO a really serious risk, but the media will play it up).
- the big budget deal between Boehner, McConnell, and Obama includes a hit on crop insurance companies, requiring renegotiation of the reinsurance agreement between RMA and the crop insurance companies.
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Farmers Take Two Hits
Two hits on farmers in the media:
Bad Gun Shops
A seemingly simple proposal on which many could agree: clamp down on the 5 percent of gun shops which sell 95 percent of the guns later used in crimes.
But, as one of my mantras says, "it's complicated". I read another piece on the lawsuit against Badger Guns in Milwaukee (sold a gun to a "straw buyer" who turned it over to someone who shot two cops). Too lazy to look it up, but probably the Times. I believe Badger Guns is now under new management, though the owner is related to the old one. That's the loophole, one which FSA experiences with enforcing payment limitation: identity is often fluid, not fixed. Today's gun dealer is tomorrow's bystander, even though common sense says there's a continuity there. But the law does not incorporate common sense. Common sense tells us a lot of bad things and we wish to do no bad.
But, as one of my mantras says, "it's complicated". I read another piece on the lawsuit against Badger Guns in Milwaukee (sold a gun to a "straw buyer" who turned it over to someone who shot two cops). Too lazy to look it up, but probably the Times. I believe Badger Guns is now under new management, though the owner is related to the old one. That's the loophole, one which FSA experiences with enforcing payment limitation: identity is often fluid, not fixed. Today's gun dealer is tomorrow's bystander, even though common sense says there's a continuity there. But the law does not incorporate common sense. Common sense tells us a lot of bad things and we wish to do no bad.
Monday, October 26, 2015
Addiction Is Bad, But Human
To be human is often to be an addict.
One of my longest addictions is coffee. I blame my parents; they drank coffee and I wanted to be like them (I know, that's weak). As the youngest in the household, anything associated with age, with maturity was very attractive. Drinking coffee meant being an adult.
Over time I drank more and more coffee. By the time I started with USDA I'd hit the office coffee pot every hour or so, just to keep something in my cup. Over the next 25 years I got stomach problems, so my coffee habit was balanced by a Maalox habit. Eventually I started to replace the caffeine with decaf.
These days I'm drinking a bit less, but still on 20 ounces a day of Starbucks leaded, blended with Folger decaf.
Why this post? I was afraid the doctor was going to tell me to drop the coffee today, but not so.
One of my longest addictions is coffee. I blame my parents; they drank coffee and I wanted to be like them (I know, that's weak). As the youngest in the household, anything associated with age, with maturity was very attractive. Drinking coffee meant being an adult.
Over time I drank more and more coffee. By the time I started with USDA I'd hit the office coffee pot every hour or so, just to keep something in my cup. Over the next 25 years I got stomach problems, so my coffee habit was balanced by a Maalox habit. Eventually I started to replace the caffeine with decaf.
These days I'm drinking a bit less, but still on 20 ounces a day of Starbucks leaded, blended with Folger decaf.
Why this post? I was afraid the doctor was going to tell me to drop the coffee today, but not so.
Sunday, October 25, 2015
EU Migration and Global Warming
Over the years there have been a few articles trying to relate climate change and various kinds of political unrest. You'll have to take that assertion on faith, because I don't have URLs.
Conservatives tend to doubt the immediacy of global warming and to argue that humanity can adapt to changed conditions in the future, just as we have in the past.
On an individual basis, I've great faith in the ability of humans to adapt to the worse conditions. I do think global warming/climate change is real and there's a strong case for trying to cap greenhouse gases.
The turmoil associated with the migration of people from the Middle East and parts of Africa into Europe doesn't make me optimistic about our ability to adapt. Today the EU is struggling to handle millions (at most) of refugees. What happens when Bangladesh is struck by a strong cyclone, generating many more refugees than the EU is seeing--do we think that India will be able to handle them?
[Update: see this Grist piece on the subject of climate refugees.]
Conservatives tend to doubt the immediacy of global warming and to argue that humanity can adapt to changed conditions in the future, just as we have in the past.
On an individual basis, I've great faith in the ability of humans to adapt to the worse conditions. I do think global warming/climate change is real and there's a strong case for trying to cap greenhouse gases.
The turmoil associated with the migration of people from the Middle East and parts of Africa into Europe doesn't make me optimistic about our ability to adapt. Today the EU is struggling to handle millions (at most) of refugees. What happens when Bangladesh is struck by a strong cyclone, generating many more refugees than the EU is seeing--do we think that India will be able to handle them?
[Update: see this Grist piece on the subject of climate refugees.]
Saturday, October 24, 2015
The Importance of Knowing What You Don't Know
One of the few lessons I learned at work is the importance of knowing what you don't know. I remember assuring the state specialist for Arkansas of an answer, which I wasn't really sure of. Naturally I was wrong, and the answer turned up in an OIG report.
Seems to me the same issue is cropping in with self-driving cars, as witness this Technology Review article on problems with the new Tesla software/hardware. Apparently Google is trying to handle all situations, but the problem drivers are having with the Tesla is not knowing when the system is approaching the limit of its capability, i.e., not knowing what the Tesla doesn't know or isn't sure of.
Seems to me the same issue is cropping in with self-driving cars, as witness this Technology Review article on problems with the new Tesla software/hardware. Apparently Google is trying to handle all situations, but the problem drivers are having with the Tesla is not knowing when the system is approaching the limit of its capability, i.e., not knowing what the Tesla doesn't know or isn't sure of.
Friday, October 23, 2015
It's All Downhill from Here: Pillminders
If I have any young readers, I hope by the time you're old someone will have innovated pillminders away.
Maybe a 3-D printer which can produce any known medicine, with the output passed through a permanently installed port in one's arm, with the timing under control of the embedded personal health minder (the great grandchild of the Apple Watch)?
The older readers will know what inspired this: first you have to take an aspirin a day. Not hard to remember, particularly when one's mind is at 98 percent capacity. Then the doc adds a prescription pill for circulation problems. By the time the third pill is added for blood pressure, one's mind is at 90 percent and going more quickly. So it's time to invest in a pill-minder, perhaps a 7 day jobbie so you only have to fill it once a week.
The next step is a couple more pills, one of which has to be taken twice a day, not once. And now the mind is really losing it.
Maybe what I need is a blogminder--something to remind me what I was writing about when I started the post?
Maybe a 3-D printer which can produce any known medicine, with the output passed through a permanently installed port in one's arm, with the timing under control of the embedded personal health minder (the great grandchild of the Apple Watch)?
The older readers will know what inspired this: first you have to take an aspirin a day. Not hard to remember, particularly when one's mind is at 98 percent capacity. Then the doc adds a prescription pill for circulation problems. By the time the third pill is added for blood pressure, one's mind is at 90 percent and going more quickly. So it's time to invest in a pill-minder, perhaps a 7 day jobbie so you only have to fill it once a week.
The next step is a couple more pills, one of which has to be taken twice a day, not once. And now the mind is really losing it.
Maybe what I need is a blogminder--something to remind me what I was writing about when I started the post?
Thursday, October 22, 2015
I Hate "Resources"
These days everyone talks "resources", as in we need to devote the resources to fixing the problem, we lack the resources to do this, I (the politician) will devote the resources.. ad infinitum.
What do we mean?
"resources" = men/workers/people + money
I suppose that the term is useful: often if you're adding workers to a project you need the money to pay them and sometimes the decision of whether to add money and contract out the job or add workers and keep it in-house has yet to be made.
But all in all, "resources" is too damn vague: if you mean money you're talking appropriations and taxes; if you mean people, you're talking hiring and training, or moving people from one assignment to another.
What do we mean?
"resources" = men/workers/people + money
I suppose that the term is useful: often if you're adding workers to a project you need the money to pay them and sometimes the decision of whether to add money and contract out the job or add workers and keep it in-house has yet to be made.
But all in all, "resources" is too damn vague: if you mean money you're talking appropriations and taxes; if you mean people, you're talking hiring and training, or moving people from one assignment to another.
Wednesday, October 21, 2015
Farming Fraud
Via the Rural Blog, an article on a Michigan farmer sentenced to a year and a day for fraud ($500k+).
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
Drone Registration and Obama's Immigration Actions and Guns
Today's papers (I think, but I'm playing catchup with my reading after a short trip) say that the FAA is planning to implement a registration system for drones by the end of the year. There's also a piece about the court battle over Obama's immigration actions. Why do I link the two?
Because I think both cases involve a bureaucrat's favorite piece of legislation--the Administrative Procedure Act.
As I understand it, Obama is being sued by Texas because he didn't follow the public rulemaking provisions of the Act. Texas argues that the state is harmed by Obama's actions, meaning that he (ICE actually) should have gone through proposed rulemaking, allowing the public to comment on the actions. There's a prediction the court fight may drag out through the rest of Obama's term in office. (If they had gone with proposed rulemaking, the administration's lawyers probably figured it would have taken a couple years to complete anyway.)
If the FAA actually gets their registration system, both software and system design and requirements, up and running by Christmas, in time to catch all the drones being given for Christmas, they will have done well. But why aren't they required to go proposed rulemaking under APA?
My guess is the FAA's argument in fact, if not formally, is that no one will have the balls nor the legal basis for suing over APA procedure. They might say that the registration system will be so easy and not burdensome that there's no adverse burden to the public. What I suspect they'll really mean is that the drone industry wants certainty so they can forge ahead, so no company will sue. The industry will do better by having known standards than a 2-year court fight over process.
Now from the private citizen's standpoint, I could argue that my freedom is impaired by any federal regulation ofguns drones. I could even argue owning and operating a drone is vital to the citizen's oversight of the federal government and my rights will be violated by this hasty rush to regulation.
I could argue that, but I don't. I wish the FAA good luck with their software project.
Because I think both cases involve a bureaucrat's favorite piece of legislation--the Administrative Procedure Act.
As I understand it, Obama is being sued by Texas because he didn't follow the public rulemaking provisions of the Act. Texas argues that the state is harmed by Obama's actions, meaning that he (ICE actually) should have gone through proposed rulemaking, allowing the public to comment on the actions. There's a prediction the court fight may drag out through the rest of Obama's term in office. (If they had gone with proposed rulemaking, the administration's lawyers probably figured it would have taken a couple years to complete anyway.)
If the FAA actually gets their registration system, both software and system design and requirements, up and running by Christmas, in time to catch all the drones being given for Christmas, they will have done well. But why aren't they required to go proposed rulemaking under APA?
My guess is the FAA's argument in fact, if not formally, is that no one will have the balls nor the legal basis for suing over APA procedure. They might say that the registration system will be so easy and not burdensome that there's no adverse burden to the public. What I suspect they'll really mean is that the drone industry wants certainty so they can forge ahead, so no company will sue. The industry will do better by having known standards than a 2-year court fight over process.
Now from the private citizen's standpoint, I could argue that my freedom is impaired by any federal regulation of
I could argue that, but I don't. I wish the FAA good luck with their software project.
Thursday, October 15, 2015
More Action on MIDAS
FSA has new information on MIDAS and new releases of software. See here.
I'm getting ready for a trip over the weekend so haven't looked at the information. Possibly the project has its own momentum and logic.
I'm getting ready for a trip over the weekend so haven't looked at the information. Possibly the project has its own momentum and logic.
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