Some twitter traffic suggesting that President Trump will be defeated in 2020 by almost anyone the Democrats put up.
I violently disagree. Let me count the ways:
One: I remember the late 70's when it looked as if we liberals might be lucky enough to face Ronald Reagan in 1980. We knew we could beat him with Carter or with Kennedy. Look how that worked out.
Two:. Even if today's polls are reasonably accurate, and I don't doubt them, there's the issue of fundamentals: right now Trump is riding the best overall economy in years, perhaps better than Clinton's late 90's boom. He's also seeing "successes" in foreign policy--defeat of ISIS, withdrawal of troops from Syriana, and likely Afghanistan (by 2020), possible agreement with North Korea, renegotiated NAFTA, NATO countries responding to his harangues, etc. etc. (I put quotation marks on successes because they mostly aren't, but as of now they can be sold as such.) Those fundamentals would guarantee any normal person reelection.
Three: There's always the possibility of rally-round-the-flag episodes, a black swan event which rallies the US around its president.
Four: The reality is that some of the Democratic candidates and potentials can beat Trump, unless he has a real run of luck (somewhat like he had in 2015-16)and some can't. Right now we don't know which is which.
Five: Because we don't know the future, we need to work, and contribute, and vote as if we're underdogs.
Six: My mantra is, even if we win the presidency it doesn't do much good unless we keep the House, gain the Senate, and take some more state legislatures.
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