Back in the Bush administration there was a flap related to the Army's publishing of its manual on interrogation techniques. Some argued it was wrong to described permitted and prohibited methods in detail, because it would enable terrorist organizations to train their members to resist interrogation. That seems to make sense: we can't exaggerate how wily and tricky these terrorist networks are.
But if that makes sense, then surely there's no need to modify the Miranda warning and law with regard to U.S. citizens and residents. Any smart terrorist organization understands that these people have rights under the Constitution, rights which aren't dependent on the Miranda warning. Any libertarian will tell you there's no obligation to say anything to a law enforcement officer. So smart organizations will train their US citizen recruits in their constitutional rights, and modifying the warning will do nothing.
So there's a choice: believe in smart terrorist organizations and don't change Miranda; or, believe terrorist organizations are less than smart, that Murphy's Law operates there as well as elsewhere, and the terrorist threat becomes too small to warrant any changes.
Blogging on bureaucracy, organizations, USDA, agriculture programs, American history, the food movement, and other interests. Often contrarian, usually optimistic, sometimes didactic, occasionally funny, rarely wrong, always a nitpicker.
Saturday, May 15, 2010
Farmers Markets Are Inefficient
That's a reality recognized in this post at Ethicurean. Adam Smith recognized the virtues of specialization, but farmers' markets make the farmer be good at both growing and selling. A farmer who has to spend much of the summer standing in a stall at a market is prevented from growing as much as she can. Granted some select farmers can attract enthusiastic interns who can fill in, but it's not a formula that works for growing that sector of the agricultural economy.
Friday, May 14, 2010
A Symptom of the Times in USDA Succession
Here's a post on the new order of succession at USDA. In old days this was more important, since people worried about nuclear war. These days the order is more symbolic. I don't remember the exact order, but the Under Secretary over FSA and FAS used to be up there. No more--he's now next to last among the under secretaries.
EWG Subsidy Database and the Farm Bill
The Environmental Working Group is knocking USDA for failing to provide farm program payment data tied to individuals when the checks were written to entities. Seems USDA is estimating it would cost a bunch of money ($6.7 million) and Congress changed the law so they don't have to. I'm not a real fan of EWG, I didn't like it back in the last century when they won their court case to get the payment data, but seems to me they're in the right here. Given Obama's emphasis on transparency, it's going to be difficult for the ag committees to hold the line on this one.
Us and the Brits--Transition and Budgets
There's been a little comment in the blogosphere on the transition in Britain. Took a day or two to come up with a coalition government, but now the Brits have all their cabinet in place and beavering away--no long drawn out confirmation hearings and the occasional embarrassing disclosures for the British. That's just a piece with the other ways in which their government differs from ours. I found this in a writeup on the British budget approval process:
The British Parliament has no ways and means committees, no budget committees, no appropriations committees. The committees that do scrutinize government departments lack the power to authorize new government programs and spending. Britain has one dominant figure who controls most of these functions: the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Roughly speaking, the Chancellor of the Exchequer is the Treasury/Finance Minister for the British Government, yet he has unparalleled power compared to the US Treasury Secretary.If I understand, the finances and spending bills get considered and there's the possibility for change, except if the government doesn't agree to the change, they can make it a vote of confidence and win that way.
The Chancellor has sole responsibility for setting tax rates. He does not preside over a tax committee. Rather he makes all of his tax decisions in an annual statement to Parliament, which is referred to as the annual Budget Statement. In essence, the Chancellor is a one-man Ways & Means Committee. The Budget Statement he presents (discussed below in greater detail) outlines not only tax rates, but also the total amount of money that will be spent on all government activities (both mandatory and discretionary).
Thus, the Chancellor is also a one-man Budget Committee.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Rebound in Prince William County
Post had an article on Wednesday describing a rebound in Prince William county, VA. Schools are full and housing is moving. That fits what I've noted on visits to my mother-in-law in Manassas Park--fewer "for sale" signs up for shorter times.
In my mind this is the way the real estate market revives: the new households formed, whether of immigrants who band together to finance a house, young people finally able to buy instead of rent, low-income households rising up the ladder, all find places where houses are affordable, as in Prince William. They buy new houses and existing houses. The owners of the existing houses then may have the money to finance a more expensive house, and so on up the ladder. Instead of the "trickle-down" theory of wealth, this is the "build from the bottom" theory of housing prices. (And it's one reason why I've still got the bee in my bonnet that the anti-immigrant fervor of 2005-7, as in Tom Tancredo, helped to pop the housing bubble.)
Anyhow, the future is looking a little brighter.
In my mind this is the way the real estate market revives: the new households formed, whether of immigrants who band together to finance a house, young people finally able to buy instead of rent, low-income households rising up the ladder, all find places where houses are affordable, as in Prince William. They buy new houses and existing houses. The owners of the existing houses then may have the money to finance a more expensive house, and so on up the ladder. Instead of the "trickle-down" theory of wealth, this is the "build from the bottom" theory of housing prices. (And it's one reason why I've still got the bee in my bonnet that the anti-immigrant fervor of 2005-7, as in Tom Tancredo, helped to pop the housing bubble.)
Anyhow, the future is looking a little brighter.
USDA Bureaucrat: Lyster Dewey and Hemp
The Post has an article on Lyster Dewey and his diaries, which record his work growing hemp, as well as other things, in the USDA gardens occupying the site where the Pentagon was built. USDA bureaucrats do many things.
Incidentally, during WWII the USDA also had a War Hemp program. Find other links by googling "War Hemp". I remember in the early 70's someone contacted the ASCS records people looking for the old records (I think the program was probably funded out of Commodity Credit Corporation funds.)
Incidentally, during WWII the USDA also had a War Hemp program. Find other links by googling "War Hemp". I remember in the early 70's someone contacted the ASCS records people looking for the old records (I think the program was probably funded out of Commodity Credit Corporation funds.)
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Equal Time for Cows--Predicting Their Behavior
Grew up on a dairy/poultry farm. I've already posted on hens today, so I thought I'd throw in this piece from MIT on a model to predict cows' behavior: specifically whether to stand or lie down.
I'm a little skeptical of Bostonians talking about cows, they're probably more familiar with shoes. But I can't controvert anything said in the post.
I'm a little skeptical of Bostonians talking about cows, they're probably more familiar with shoes. But I can't controvert anything said in the post.
Hens and Cages
From Farm Policy
[Updated--decided to do a little Googling and found this about the French industry.:]
Rod Smith reported yesterday at Feedstuffs Online that, “American consumers buy eggs from cage housing systems by a margin of more than 40 to one over eggs from cage-free systems, according to data from Information Resources Inc. (IRI), which tracks checkout scanner transactions from 34,000 grocery and other retail stores in the U.S.I wonder how it came to be that Americans pay three times less for eggs? Is the European poultry industry less concentrated? Is it not vertically integrated as ours is? Do we just profit by the bigger market? Do Europeans prefer more what in wine they call "terroir", which are the mostly imaginary qualities which are supposedly associated with production in a specific area.
“Furthermore, based on other research, Americans pay three times less for eggs than Europeans do. Also, more than half of Americans prefer that egg producers continue to use current cage housing or migrate to alternative systems such as aviary or colony cages, and 44% prefer cage-free housing.
[Updated--decided to do a little Googling and found this about the French industry.:]
National egg consumption over the last three to four years is estimated at 248 eggs per person on average, compared with 251 a decade ago.
Of these 248 eggs, 172 (69%) are believed to be table eggs, while the remaining 76 (31%) are thought to be processed eggs. Household purchases represent 40% of total consumption, followed by yolk and albumen (31%) for the food industry, table eggs for the catering sector (20%), and poultry farmers’ personal consumption (9%). Supermarket sales amount to nearly 4 billion eggs, or around one third of total consumption. Organic, Label Rouge and free-range eggs account for 28% of eggs sold and 42% of supermarkets’ turnover from egg sales. [I suspect here's a big difference.] France remains one of the EU’s biggest egg consumers.
The French egg market is at a crossroads in a fast-changing regulatory, economic and sanitary environment. While production and consumption perspectives remain favourable at international level, growth is slower in France and the rest of Europe, with a slight decline in production over the last few years.
The sector’s outlook depends on the development of EU-wide regulations concerning animal welfare, human health and the environment. The forthcoming ban on conventional cages, which is due to come into force on 1st January 2012, is expected to result in the further diversification of rearing systems and the development of alternative rearing methods, the ITAVI forecasts. In addition, growing awareness among consumers of animal welfare, as well as health and environmental issues, is likely to shape the market and benefit the organic sector.
The French poultry industry faces the tough challenge of adapting its production structures and making strategic investment choices over the next 20 years. However, the heavy costs involved may result in the disappearance of a number of small poultry farms, says ITAVI deputy manager Jean Champagne. Future production methods will have to guarantee human health and animal welfare as well as offer competitive prices, all the more so as the EU market is likely to be opened to imports from third countries that are not subject to the same requirements.
The March of Progress--Phipps Declares Non-GM Corn Over
John Phipps says genetically modified corn has now swept the field, at least in the U.S., because there's no longer a premium to corn growers for growing non-GMO corn. He's got a pdf essay which he links to from a blog post.
Frailty, Thy Name Is Beginning Gardener
From a NY Times article on the fad for company gardens:
Still, what seems like a good idea in the conference room doesn’t always translate to the field. People don’t always follow through. It’s the same dynamic that fills the office refrigerator with old yogurt containers and moldy lunches.
At PepsiCo, most of the plots are still weedy and empty. The weather has been cool and so, gardeners say, has enthusiasm. Last year when the company first turned over a plot the size of two tennis courts to peppers and tomatoes, 200 of the 1,450 employees here signed up, mailroom workers and midlevel administrators alike. This year, the volunteers dwindled to about 75, and many of them have yet to ready their plots.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
A Blast from the Past--PIK Certificates and a Wrong Prediction
John Phipps must have been having a nostalgic moment because he threw in a mention of PIK in a recent post
with a link to an explanation of "PIK and roll" from the 1987 Washington Monthly.
I remember the start of the PIK program, or at least the 1983 incarnation. I suspect there are many FSA employees who were hired back then and remember it with some mixed feelings.
At the end of the article, two long retired Senators, Boschwitz and Boren, discuss their proposal for "decoupling", for removing the link between the crop produced and what the program pays. We moved towards that in the next two farm bills, with the 1996 Freedom to Farm incorporating it. Here's what was said:
with a link to an explanation of "PIK and roll" from the 1987 Washington Monthly.
I remember the start of the PIK program, or at least the 1983 incarnation. I suspect there are many FSA employees who were hired back then and remember it with some mixed feelings.
At the end of the article, two long retired Senators, Boschwitz and Boren, discuss their proposal for "decoupling", for removing the link between the crop produced and what the program pays. We moved towards that in the next two farm bills, with the 1996 Freedom to Farm incorporating it. Here's what was said:
"A system of direct income support would make government dependency less easy for farmers to swallow. They could no longer kid themselves that the farm program merely provided them with a "fair price.' Many farm groups oppose the plan on the grounds that it would turn the farm program into welfare, to which Boschwitz replies: "Farmers are getting benefits now and they would get benefits under my plan. What's the difference? If they call my plan "welfare,' what do they call the current programs?'"The prediction was wrong--farmers have had no problem at all of arguing to keep the DCP payments long after they were supposed to be phased out. The "fair price" argument may have faded into the pages of history but the argument for preserving farms remains.
Monday, May 10, 2010
The Final Word on Vertical Farms
One of my hobbyhorses is vertical farms, or rather the unfeasibility of vertical farms. This post should put the final nail in this idea:
Although the concept has provided opportunities for architecture students and others to create innovative, sometimes beautiful building designs, it holds little practical potential for providing food. Even if vertical farming were feasible on a large scale, it would not solve the most pressing agricultural problems; rather, it would push the dependence of food production on industrial inputs to even greater heights. It would ensure that dependence by depriving crops not only of soil but also of the most plentiful and ecologically benign energy source of all: sunlight.
Deficit Commission Predictions
Obama's deficit commission has been holding hearings, as has the House Agriculture Committee on the 2012 farm bill. The deficit report is due after the fall elections.
I now take up my crystal ball. I predict the commission will include in its recommendations an across-the-board cut on much discretionary spending. My logic is: it is very difficult to end programs; usually there are good arguments, or at least reasonable ones, for the existence and the value of the program, particularly if you ignore the costs. So it's going to be very difficult for 14 of the 18 commissioners to agree on a hit list. Politically it's much easier to impose a flat percentage cut. That way everyone (at least everyone in the affected programs) shares the pain and the cuts seem more equitable.
For those with short memories, or short lives, there was much concern about deficits back in the Reagan administration; that was one reason Reagan ended up signing some tax raises. Back then Congress and the administration could reach agreement on an approach to cutting deficits; it was called the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act. In 1986 it kicked in and we ended cutting deficiency payments (and other payments) by something like 4.6 percent.
So my prediction is history will repeat itself--the commission will propose a percentage cut like we had in 1986.
I now take up my crystal ball. I predict the commission will include in its recommendations an across-the-board cut on much discretionary spending. My logic is: it is very difficult to end programs; usually there are good arguments, or at least reasonable ones, for the existence and the value of the program, particularly if you ignore the costs. So it's going to be very difficult for 14 of the 18 commissioners to agree on a hit list. Politically it's much easier to impose a flat percentage cut. That way everyone (at least everyone in the affected programs) shares the pain and the cuts seem more equitable.
For those with short memories, or short lives, there was much concern about deficits back in the Reagan administration; that was one reason Reagan ended up signing some tax raises. Back then Congress and the administration could reach agreement on an approach to cutting deficits; it was called the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act. In 1986 it kicked in and we ended cutting deficiency payments (and other payments) by something like 4.6 percent.
So my prediction is history will repeat itself--the commission will propose a percentage cut like we had in 1986.
Why the US Is Losing Its Preeminence
The Chicken Little position is well stated in this NYTimes article on a Chinese woman teaching Chinese to teens in Lawton, OK. Interesting contrasts in culture:
“They party, they drink, they date,” [the teacher] added. “In China, we study and study and study.”Note: I'm not much bothered by the prospect. The only thing I can be sure of is the contrast will be different in 30 years.
Sunday, May 09, 2010
Mother's Day URL's
Steve Hendrix in the Post magazine interviews people his mother taught in a gifted class many years ago, and finds it was a big influence in their lives.
Roger Rosenblatt in "Making Toast" paints a picture of a mother, his daughter, now dead and the family she left behind. Emotional because underwritten.
Roger Rosenblatt in "Making Toast" paints a picture of a mother, his daughter, now dead and the family she left behind. Emotional because underwritten.
The Answer to Some Mysteries?
According to this post passing on a study, the more intelligent and dependable a child, the more likely she is to live longer.
No mention of whether it applies to both sexes, or whether the result only explains why females live longer than males. Assuming this has cross-cultural validity, it might answer why the average IQ rises each generation.
No mention of whether it applies to both sexes, or whether the result only explains why females live longer than males. Assuming this has cross-cultural validity, it might answer why the average IQ rises each generation.
Funniest Sentence Today
Kevin Drum in a post on Prof. Kagan's qualifications to be a Justice (the argument being she can persuade Justice Kennedy):
Anyway, Diane Wood has six kids and plays the oboe. I'll bet she can convince just about anybody of just about anything.
Economists Don't Know What They're Talking About--DeLong
Brad proves it by this statement (from his intro to an upcoming course):
Doesn't that mean that we [the students] are guinea pigs--experimental animals? A: Yes, but the life of an experimental animal can be a very interesting and fulfilling one.
Saturday, May 08, 2010
The Weak US Government
One of my hobbyhorses--how really weak the Federal government is. I get support, albeit unknowingly, from a surprising source--a libertarian. Ilya Somin at Volokh Conspiracy writes:
My parents and I were green card holders from 1979 to 1986. As far as I know, they rarely if ever carried proof of legal residency with them except when entering and leaving the country. I suspect that most other legal immigrants behave the same way. Why? Because the chance of running into a federal law enforcement officer in everyday life is infinitesmally [sic] small.This is in the context of a discussion of the Arizona immigration law. Somin is worried because people have or could have dealings with local and state law enforcement officials almost every day. (In fact, I've had very few interactions with such officials in the course of a rather long life. Maybe I drive slower than Somin.)
Friday, May 07, 2010
McCain Flip Flops on Farm Programs
From Chris Clayton:
One senator to spotlight in the letter is Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., who has opposed farm programs his entire career, but in the past two weeks has signed onto two letters defending traditional farm programs.
One senator to spotlight in the letter is Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., who has opposed farm programs his entire career, but in the past two weeks has signed onto two letters defending traditional farm programs.
Brooks and Ricks on the US Army
David Brooks is laudatory today. He believes the Army has been converted to a counterinsurgency doctrine through the leadership of Gen. Petraeus. Tom Ricks likes the Brooks narrative,
I must say I'm more skeptical. There was an earlier post on The Best Defense in which a guest poster ended by saying:
So my bottom line is Mr. Brooks may be over impressed. Petraeus may have done everything right, and everything it could, but it doesn't mean COIN is embedded in the Army's DNA yet.
I must say I'm more skeptical. There was an earlier post on The Best Defense in which a guest poster ended by saying:
I would argue, though, that the truth is closer to this being a business as usual concept regarding something perceived as a fad: General Petraeus and COIN are the flavor of the month now, but once Iraq winds down for us and explodes for the Iraqis after our drawdown and Afghanistan drags on and gets more of a mess, will it still be an appetizing taste? Past history shows that it won't be. That leaves the real question as: how much can GEN Petraeus' influence change the dynamic?There are a bunch of comments on that post, most of which I've not read. Personally I'm a bit cynical about the Army, the whole military actually. Supposedly after Vietnam they changed their culture. But either they forgot the change, and the lessons of the war, or the change was oversold. Or maybe the sheer inertia of the Army is underestimated. After all, you've got people who've invested their lives in armor or artillery who have every incentive to look for flaws in a COIN Army. They're backed up by the military-industrial-Congressional complex. Drinking tea with tribal leaders may be effective, but it doesn't create jobs in a Congressional district.
So my bottom line is Mr. Brooks may be over impressed. Petraeus may have done everything right, and everything it could, but it doesn't mean COIN is embedded in the Army's DNA yet.
Thursday, May 06, 2010
No One Trusts Their Bureaucrats
This Politico article argues that the publics in all industrial democracies have lost their trust in bureaucrats and hierarchical organizations. Why? Because people are richer and more educated.
I'm not sure of the argument, but it is a useful reminder that America is not as unique as we'd like to think.
I'm not sure of the argument, but it is a useful reminder that America is not as unique as we'd like to think.
The Layers and Layers of Duplicity in the New Yorker
Malcolm Gladwell has a piece in the New Yorker elaborating on the layers of duplicity in intelligence, and counter-intelligence, and counter-counter-intelligence, and.... Matt Yglesias links to it.
Meanwhile, via Best Defense, Steve Coll comments on the possible attitude of Pakistani terrorists to the NY car bomber.
Meanwhile, via Best Defense, Steve Coll comments on the possible attitude of Pakistani terrorists to the NY car bomber.
Wednesday, May 05, 2010
Update from Herndon
Back before the failed attempt at immigration reform before the last election, Herndon, VA gained some fame. The town board had approved the establishment of a labor center, rather than having day laborers stand around a 7/11 waiting for employers. The town board and mayor were then ousted from office (must have been in 2006) by opponents who said the center was encouraging illegal immigration and wanted the town to crack down.
Well, time passes and there was another election in Herndon yesterday. The Restonian blog picks up the story:
Well, time passes and there was another election in Herndon yesterday. The Restonian blog picks up the story:
Mayor Steve DeBenedittis survived a last-minute write-in campaign, but the four challengers more or less ran on what we'll politely call an "anti-Arizona" platform and will have a majority on the council, which suggests that we'll have to go back to poking fun at the town's recreational activities instead of its AZ on the W&OD policies.Because of the housing crash, and resulting recession, immigration has been less of a hot issue in the area. I suspect this result will not receive the attention that the 2006 election had, however.
No More "Leatherstocking Region"
Margaret Soltan reports the decision to rename the region formerly know as "Leatherstocking Region". Seems the name, which honors James Fenimore Cooper's hero of 5 novels, doesn't do anything for tourists.
Professor Soltan doesn't mourn the name change; indeed she adds insult to injury by quoting Mark Twain on the excellence of Cooper's literary talents. Twain was obviously jealous of Cooper. After all, has Daniel Day Lewis ever played one of Twain's heroes?
Professor Soltan doesn't mourn the name change; indeed she adds insult to injury by quoting Mark Twain on the excellence of Cooper's literary talents. Twain was obviously jealous of Cooper. After all, has Daniel Day Lewis ever played one of Twain's heroes?
Glenn Beck More Enlightened Than Lindsay Graham!
Politico reports Sen. Graham wants to bypass Miranda rights for American citizens suspected of terrorist acts.
Meanwhile, with my very ears, I heard Glenn Beck last night we shouldn't Mirandize aliens, but we should protect the rights of American citizens.
I guess I need to get my hearing checked, and if that's okay, head for the head doctors.
Meanwhile, with my very ears, I heard Glenn Beck last night we shouldn't Mirandize aliens, but we should protect the rights of American citizens.
I guess I need to get my hearing checked, and if that's okay, head for the head doctors.
The Proposal and Chris Blattman
We recently watched The Proposal from Netflix. For those who don't recall, it is a romantic comedy where the Sandy Bullock character needs to marry to stay in country and the INS heavy is going to question them both (forget the male lead's name) to see if the marriage is real. The movie was good.
Now comes real life. Chris Blattman is a Harvard prof from Canada who's going for his green card interview with his wife. He's getting nervous:
Blattman's international development blog is good.
Now comes real life. Chris Blattman is a Harvard prof from Canada who's going for his green card interview with his wife. He's getting nervous:
"Now, normally you’d think a Canadian professor with a job and a work visa wouldn’t be a big worry to the INS. Plus I’m interviewing in Connecticut and not Arizona. But Jeannie quizzed me the other day, and it turns out (1) I have no idea what color her toothbrush is, (2) I overestimated how long we have been married, and (3) we live in different cities and have different last names
Also, if you squint, you could mistake us for Gérard Depardieu and Andie MacDowell. This bodes ill. I could be blogging from Canada on Wednesday.
Blattman's international development blog is good.
The Fascinating World of Politics
Today is a red-letter day for those who enjoy the twists and turns of politics.
Ruth Marcus in the Post describes the background to the passage of the Arizona immigration law. Seems they went to a "clean election" concept, which enabled people with no deep-pockets backers to win elections to the state legislature. Without the vetting of the establishment, the legislators became more populist.Don't you love human beings?
The Times describes a surge of African-American candidates encouraged by Obama's success, except these are Republican candidates. The idea black candidates can be elected in majority-white constituencies is empowering.
And the Times describes Britain's own shut-the-door politics, people who fear the impact of allowing all those Polish immigrants into the country, destroying Britain's way of life. The O Henry twist here is the writer finds some of these fearful people at a mosque in Luton.
Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Followup to Lazy Students
From an interesting article on a Duke professor who tried having her students do a crowd-source assessment of their work:
As for the main subject, the professor and students claim is the process worked very well.
She said that the students each ended up writing about 1,000 words a week, much more than is required for a course to be considered "writing intensive" at Duke (even though her course didn't have that designation). She also said that the writing (she read every word, even while not assigning grades) was better than the norm.This is incidental information, but 1,000 words is about 4 pages, which doesn't sound like all that much for a writing intensive course. Of course, my memory is raising the bar, but seems to me that was roughly the standard for my freshman English class many years ago.
As for the main subject, the professor and students claim is the process worked very well.
Robot Bureaucrats
Thanks a bunch, Ann Althouse:
Also, for some reason, I don't find robotic voices intimidating. If I'm interacting with a bureaucrat, I prefer a robot.
Monday, May 03, 2010
Spreading Innovations II
Posted earlier on the problem of spreading innovations in the US Army. Another example, which may be familiar: anyone who has a reputation for knowing technology, for being able to program VCR's or whatever the current standard is, perhaps has had this experience. You show someone who is less knowledgeable, perhaps an older relative, a neat way to accomplish something they'd like to do: find out the weather in Dublin by doing a Google search for "dublin weather". They're duly impressed and seem to comprehend what you've demonstrated. But, next week or next month, a similar situation occurs and the person doesn't use the knowledge you've passed on.
Obama Defends Government, Not Bureaucrats
Obama spoke at the University of Michigan, asking for civility and defending the necessary role of government. That's all fine, just as motherhood and apple pie are fine (though rhubarb pie is better), and honoring "Older Americans" as you all are supposed to do this month is fine.
But when is someone going to speak out in praise of the poor "faceless bureaucrat"? You can't have government without faceless bureaucrats.
[Updated--this is Public Service Recognition week. Though how one recognizes the faceless I'm not sure.]
But when is someone going to speak out in praise of the poor "faceless bureaucrat"? You can't have government without faceless bureaucrats.
[Updated--this is Public Service Recognition week. Though how one recognizes the faceless I'm not sure.]
My Suspicions Confirmed, College Students Are Slackers
Tyler Cowen passes on a report which claims to show students in my day worked 40 hours a week on their studies (plus another 20 working their way through school, at least for some like me), whereas now they work 27 hours a week. Of course, it could be that the use of Powerpoint has improved the transmission of knowledge so much that less studying is needed because more is accomplished in class. Or it could be youth are going to pot.
Sunday, May 02, 2010
$500 an Hour for Law School Graduates?
Piece in the NYTimes on the people handling the bankruptcies in the financial sector, particularly Lehman Brothers. Apparently the time of associates in law firms (the worker bees familiar from John Grisham's novels who are 1, or 2, or 3 years removed from law school) can be billed at $500 an hour. If they worked 2,000 hours in a year, that's a cool mill. And associates, if Grisham is right, are expected to bill 60 or 70 hours a week.
Remember that when right wingers talk about government bureaucrats being paid more than private--I double damn guarantee no Federal lawyer is in the same ballpark as these people.
The piece offers some justifications for the charges, and there is some oversight. But my bottom line is: pigs at the trough, making hay while the sun shines (to mix farm metaphors). The creditors of the bankrupt institution don't have the ability effectively to monitor the firms and serve as a countervailing interest to abuses.
Remember that when right wingers talk about government bureaucrats being paid more than private--I double damn guarantee no Federal lawyer is in the same ballpark as these people.
The piece offers some justifications for the charges, and there is some oversight. But my bottom line is: pigs at the trough, making hay while the sun shines (to mix farm metaphors). The creditors of the bankrupt institution don't have the ability effectively to monitor the firms and serve as a countervailing interest to abuses.
Saturday, May 01, 2010
What Does a Crofter Do? [Updated}
A nice post at Musings from a Stonehead describing what a crofter (small farmer) does: walk and carry. He's not walking behind horses, but the farm is small enough not to need a riding tractor. That's one reason old time farmers had no problems with their weight.
Meanwhile, just to prove small farms are the same on both sides of the Atlantic, StonyBrookFarm has a post about the concept of "cool boredom", which he sees as part of doing chores on a farm:
Meanwhile, just to prove small farms are the same on both sides of the Atlantic, StonyBrookFarm has a post about the concept of "cool boredom", which he sees as part of doing chores on a farm:
Lugging around water buckets, wheeling out bales of hay, standing still and running the hose for ten minutes to fill a fifty gallon water trough, walking from pasture to pasture, paddock to paddock, barnyard to barnyard, following a rote routine multiple times a day, day after day, are the stuff for me of cool boredom on the farm.Both posts are worth reading in their entirety.
How Much Has Politics Changed?
Mr. Brookheiser, in his memoir of Bill Buckley, recalls that 2 weeks after LBJ became President, the National Review declared his honeymoon was over. (How'd I like the book--it was a quick read with a number of good lines in it. I don't think much of his politics, but the guy writes well.)
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Spreading Innovations
I'm always fascinated by the processes by which new ideas spread, or don't spread, through society. One reason is purely egoistic--over my working career I had some new ideas, some of which spread, some didn't. Some survived my departure, most didn't. The flip side is why are bureaucracies and societies resistant to change.
Today the US Army presents an example. Tom Ricks at the Best Defense presents a post in which the writer argues that even though General Petraeus ushered through a new Field Manual on Counter Insurgency, and there are high-ranking officers who've bought into the ideas, COIN isn't safely embedded in the Army's culture. New bureaucrats, whether they be Presidents or political appointees, often believe if they can just get something done on paper, whether it be a law or a directive, the job is done. Wrong--it's just starting.
Today the US Army presents an example. Tom Ricks at the Best Defense presents a post in which the writer argues that even though General Petraeus ushered through a new Field Manual on Counter Insurgency, and there are high-ranking officers who've bought into the ideas, COIN isn't safely embedded in the Army's culture. New bureaucrats, whether they be Presidents or political appointees, often believe if they can just get something done on paper, whether it be a law or a directive, the job is done. Wrong--it's just starting.
One-third Lose Jobs in SEC Porn Scandal
Somehow that seems a fairer title for this story than saying "No one fired"
Those Speedsters at FSA
From the FSA press release on new software supporting the direct loan program:
Development of the new software began in 2004, Coppess said, and the first phase, to improve the loan making process was launched in 2007. Since then, more than $3 billion in new loans have been obligated through the system, including many made as a result of the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.It's not real clear what's going on--the release talks of a major upgrade, and the first release must have been out for a while, if $3 billion has been made through the system. So I guess it's not right to mock this as a 6 year development project. No mention of the cost of the software project, but at least it turned out to be usable.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Why I Love Congress--Improper Payments
Government Executive reports on a bill which passed the House requiring government agencies to recover payments they make improperly. Why the title of this post? Because a number of years ago Congress passed a law requiring FSA to let farmers keep payments which were made improperly. Talk about double-faced!
To be fair, I should add this is all based on my memory, which is fallible; the law permits FSA to recover payments if the recovery can be made within a period (90 days maybe?); and the reason for the law was that farmers claimed they didn't realize they had been overpaid, so they used the money in their operations and felt it was unfair to be required to repay when it was FSA which made the mistake. Regardless, my Calvinistic heritage rebels at that.
To be fair, I should add this is all based on my memory, which is fallible; the law permits FSA to recover payments if the recovery can be made within a period (90 days maybe?); and the reason for the law was that farmers claimed they didn't realize they had been overpaid, so they used the money in their operations and felt it was unfair to be required to repay when it was FSA which made the mistake. Regardless, my Calvinistic heritage rebels at that.
Sows
The summary of an extension post on farrowing and nursing facilities:
The decision regarding space allocation pits the biology of the pig against the economics of production systems. Since each 3% reduction in space allocation for pigs in fully slatted facilities results in only a 1% reduction in daily gain and daily feed intake, producers have historically accepted a reduction in individual pig performance in order to maximize economic returns from investments in facilities. Based on the recommended codes of practice from the European Economic Community and Canada, there is no agreed upon standard for space allocation in the world community. In the future, considerations such as welfare codes and response of the market chain may change the space allocation decision.If I recall, Florida put some sort of restriction on farrowing pens. I'm rather of two minds on this, and similar animal welfare issue. On the one hand there's a power imbalance between the animal grower and the animals. One of my rules is based on Lord Acton: power corrupts. Granted over the long haul it's in the interest of the grower to treat her animals humanely, but so is it in the interest of employers to treat employees well. We know neither happens in every case. On the other hand, there's definite economic tradeoffs, as shown by this study. The bottom line, as society gets wealthier we can afford to put some of the wealth to better treatment of animals as opposed, say, to more square footage for the home.
An Inventor All Bureaucrats Should Honor: Edwin G. Seibels
Via Matt Yglesias, here's the inventor of the filing cabinet. You laugh, but being able to store and retrieve accurately the desired information is important. Just ask anyone with Alzheimers.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
White House Garden Update--Artichokes?
Obamafoodorama has two posts tied to tours of the White House Garden and stories resulting from it. Judging by the photo, the garden's doing well, although I can't say the same for the grass bordering it. One hazard of showing it off to lots of people I guess. It confirms that while they're using "raised" beds, meaning the dirt is hilled up, they aren't enclosing them with boards, which provides deeper beds.
I was surprised by the mention of artichokes, which I don't think of as growing in the area. Turns out an annual variety can be grown in zone 7, which the White House is in. Since I've never grown them, I shouldn't second guess, but they don't seem like a vegetable that maximizes productivity per square foot.
Since the President likes pie, it looks as if he'll get some rhubarb pie. Though again I'm a little surprised if they get significant production the first year out. But even one pie is worth it
I was surprised by the mention of artichokes, which I don't think of as growing in the area. Turns out an annual variety can be grown in zone 7, which the White House is in. Since I've never grown them, I shouldn't second guess, but they don't seem like a vegetable that maximizes productivity per square foot.
Since the President likes pie, it looks as if he'll get some rhubarb pie. Though again I'm a little surprised if they get significant production the first year out. But even one pie is worth it
Nationalizing Ratings Agencies
Ezra Klein posts on whether we should nationalize the ratings agencies. My comment--USDA inspects and rates grains and cotton, why shouldn't the government rate bonds and derivatives.
Monday, April 26, 2010
Recruiting Employees
Ezra Klein has an interview with a Harvard grad who went into investment banking, which includes some discussion of why students with humanities and social science majors go to Wall Street.The interesting suggestion is that investment banks steal a march on other employers by offering summer internships to rising seniors. Do well then, and you've got a job offer, thereby alleviating all the stress and anxiety of job searching during the senior year. Instead you can relax and drink enjoy the college life. Immediate gratification is perhaps more important than the lure of high incomes down the road.
I wonder how well the government does in offering internships--I know there are a few around, but I doubt OPM views itself as in a hot competition with Goldman Sachs.
I wonder how well the government does in offering internships--I know there are a few around, but I doubt OPM views itself as in a hot competition with Goldman Sachs.
Being on the Receiving End of Voice of America
Or, information dissemination activities like VOA. John Pomfret at the Post has an article on China's attempts to spread its influence by a Voice of America style effort.
The stations don't broadcast outright propaganda, but rather programming with a Chinese focus and flavor, tailored for local audiences. In Galveston, the format mixes China-centric international news, talk shows about the status of China's women and a healthy dose of gangsta rap -- all in English.What I found interesting were the cultural misunderstandings which the Chinese have to overcome in order to communicate with us. Reminds me of past discussions of the problems the US government, and large corporations, have had in operating abroad. (Supposedly Chevrolet's Novas were a flop in Mexico because the name meant "no go", etc. etc.
In New York, China's official Xinhua News Agency is moving its North American headquarters from a small building in Queens to a sprawling office complex in Times Square. It will soon have more than twice as many bureaus in the United States as any Western news agency has in China.
Best Sentence of April 26
From Dan Drezner, discussing Stephen Hawking and dealing with aliens (or not):
If aliens crave either sea water or bulls**t, then the human race as we know it is seriously screwed.
Sunday, April 25, 2010
Clayton on Small Rural Towns
A couple paragraphs from Chris Clayton's blog:
I found the Vilsack-Lucas exchange interesting considering I spent the better part of Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning in Southeastern Arkansas. On Tuesday night, in Monticello, Ark., at a political candidate forum, one older man complained about the lack of jobs for people in small towns. All of the manufacturing jobs were gone. A spec building built by the town a decade earlier was never used. The man said, "We got fast-food jobs, though. We have a every kind of burger in this town you want it, but people can't live off those jobs."
(I thought that also dovetailed nicely into the obesity debate.)
On Wednesday, I traveled a little way farther southeast. The blight really was surprising. There were a couple of towns with almost completely boarded former business districts. Any kind store other than liquor or convenience was gone. There was just nothing there in terms of work or economic development. It was depressing and made me wonder just how in the world you return jobs back to these small towns.My answer is: you can't return jobs and people to small towns. At least you can't consistently and on a national basis. Small towns have been declining for over a century and there's nothing on the horizon which would change the process.
Speculation on Safety: Companies Safer Than Family Farms?
That's John Phipps:
"It may take a legion of lawyers and hard-nosed insurance companies to make this happen, but as the number of family-only operations slides and those with employees (and their concomitant legal exposure) increase, I suspect these numbers [fatal accidents] will begin to drop rapidly."Farming is one of the most dangerous occupations. I think I agree with John, by the same logic as believing "commercial agriculture" produces safer food on the whole than smaller operations. Commercial aviation is safer than private aviation.
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