Under the Republican definition of "small business," the GOP is fighting to protect companies like Wall Street buyout firm Kohlberg, Kravis and Roberts, "which recently reported more than $54 billion in assets managed by 14 offices around the world." PricewaterhouseCoopers, a massive international auditing firm, qualifies for the label, too. So does Tribune Corp., which owns the Chicago Tribune, the Los Angeles Times and the Baltimore Sun.
Blogging on bureaucracy, organizations, USDA, agriculture programs, American history, the food movement, and other interests. Often contrarian, usually optimistic, sometimes didactic, occasionally funny, rarely wrong, always a nitpicker.
Monday, September 20, 2010
KKR Is Small Business?
From Political Animal:
Using Technology in Agriculture
I suggested a while back the use of cellphone cameras to document damage to crops because of natural disaster. Here's an instance where UC-Davis has developed a smartphone app to link the GPS location to the digitized soils map. I'm not sure how extensively this would be used: soils don't change that often so once you know the soil type present at a location, you don't need it again. It is an example of some people keeping up with the times.
Professor Henderson's Lament
Bunch of posts relating to Professor Henderson, who discusses his finances and the possible expiration of the Bush tax cut for families with over $250,000 income. DeLong Marginal Revolution
It's not clear what his income actually is. Maybe $250,000+, maybe $450,000, maybe something in between.
What is clear is that he makes more any federal government employee with the possible exception of the President. General Petraeus, for example, has a base salary of around $177,000.
[Updated: Yglesias has a post with more links to the discussion.]
It's not clear what his income actually is. Maybe $250,000+, maybe $450,000, maybe something in between.
What is clear is that he makes more any federal government employee with the possible exception of the President. General Petraeus, for example, has a base salary of around $177,000.
[Updated: Yglesias has a post with more links to the discussion.]
Sunday, September 19, 2010
Profits and Sustainability
Chris Clayton sees a gap between the aspirations of the sustainable ag movement and the realities of profit-seeking From the summary of the NAS report being discussed:
For contrast see this post at Treehugger. There's discussion of a "sustainability index", but the discussions by the operator of a 4,000 acre vegetable farm focus on doing more with less. "More with less" easily translates to more profitability; the sustainability index could be a proxy for "more with less".
This report recommends reaching this goal through two parallel efforts: an incrementalThe first approach talks of stuff like "no-till" farming; the second is more utopian. I'm conservative enough to doubt our ability to come up with such a set of farming systems.
approach, in which ongoing endeavors to develop sustainable agricultural techniques
are expanded; and a transformative approach, in which multiple research areas are brought
together to design farming systems that balance the competing demands from the outset.
For contrast see this post at Treehugger. There's discussion of a "sustainability index", but the discussions by the operator of a 4,000 acre vegetable farm focus on doing more with less. "More with less" easily translates to more profitability; the sustainability index could be a proxy for "more with less".
Silo Systems: Public Safety Comm Systems
In the past I've griped about the failure to enable public safety agencies to communicate with each other, suggesting there were interim measures which could work. My gripe was based on limited knowledge; this post Why Cops Don't Use Cell Phones provides another perspective.
Saturday, September 18, 2010
Elizabeth Warren's First Job: Find a Bureaucrat
Ron Lieber has a piece in the NYTimes offering Ms. Warren suggestions on what she should be doing. It's a list of policy issues, all very worthy of attention I'm sure. My advice to her, however, is to get herself a bureaucrat. What would the bureaucrat do:
- determine the administrative relationship between the new agency and the Treasury Department. Does it have its own budget and administrative personnel, or is it serviced by the Department? Makes a big difference down the road.
- roughly scope the size of the agency. How many bodies at what grade levels can be/will be hired over the next 12 months?
- work on obtaining office space to accommodate the people.
- work on setting up telephone system for the people.
- work on the budget/fiscal arrangements so people can be paid and travel can be done.
- work on the IT system for the agency.
- work on the personnel system for the agency--so the people can be hired.
She's Got It
No, it's not Ms. Hepburn but Sen. Lincoln, and it's not achieving the correct pronunciation for the "rain in spain" but getting an ad hoc disaster program out of the administration.
Friday, September 17, 2010
Different Paths to the Good Society?
Via someone (probably Marginal Revolution or Yglesias, I forget), here's an interesting discussion at the Money Illusion of a metric for measuring a nation. His discussion puts disparate countries in the top five, but as he says:
You can’t get much more different than Hong Kong and Denmark, at least by the criteria used by most people on the left and right. But they all do at least one thing extremely well. They all are exceptionally good at one of the three attributes of a highly successful neoliberal society. Either they are highly civic-minded (Denmark, Sweden), or highly aware of the sorts of policies that produce economic efficiency (Singapore, Hong Kong) or highly democratic. Switzerland had more national referenda in the 20th century than the rest of the world combined. And it also seems that all three have very good governance.One of the things which gets me about the more chauvinistic patriots in this country is the lack of recognition of different values and different paths. I don't like Britain's libel laws, but it's a free country. I don't like the US's gun laws, but it's a good country. I don't like France's regimentation in certain areas (see Dirk Beauregarde), but it's a free country. Governmental institutions are important but so is the nature of the society and the course of the nation's history.
Moveon and the Tea Party Movement: Parallels
Via a couple of bloggers (probably Marginal Revolution and Klein [Updated: Todd Zywicki at Volokh is one]) , this interesting piece in National Journal on the Tea Party Movement's organization. It's worth reading, both in the light of organization theory and politics.
The article includes a comparison of Moveon and the Tea Party Movement, both being ground up organizations with minimal national leadership.The last two paragraphs:
The article includes a comparison of Moveon and the Tea Party Movement, both being ground up organizations with minimal national leadership.The last two paragraphs:
One hears again, there, echoes of leftist movements. Raise consciousness. Change hearts, not just votes. Attack corruption in society, not just on Capitol Hill. In America, right-wing movements have tended to focus on taking over politics, left-wing ones on changing the culture. Like its leftist precursors, the Tea Party Patriots thinks of itself as a social movement, not a political one.
Centerless swarms are bad at transactional politics. But they may be pretty good at cultural reform. In any case, the experiment begins.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Politicians and Disingenuous Criticism
Farm Policy quotes former Rep. Larry Combest:
Interestingly, Farm Policy also reports the purchase of Rain and Hail Insurance by a Swiss insurer which operates in more than 50 countries. They value R&H at more than book value, at 1.59 times book.
“Hail and drought are all too common in these parts, which might explain why a local wheat, sorghum, and beef producer told the House Agriculture Committee in May, ‘Risk management, specifically crop insurance, is critical to Texas producers generally and especially those in this region of the state.’I don't know how he gets the last sentence. Existing producers with existing policies aren't affected as far as coverage goes. The worst you could say is, by cutting back on crop insurance administration, companies won't service their policies as well or be as prompt in handling and paying claims. And perhaps down the line that will be true. But it's not true this year or next year (inasmuch as 2011 wheat policies have already been sold).
“Too bad the U.S. Department of Agriculture slashed a giant chunk out of crop insurance just a few months later, leaving area farmers more vulnerable to Mother Nature’s whims.
Interestingly, Farm Policy also reports the purchase of Rain and Hail Insurance by a Swiss insurer which operates in more than 50 countries. They value R&H at more than book value, at 1.59 times book.
Reagan Not Transformational? The Case of Metrics
Via the NYTimes comes an article reminding us that Ronald Reagan was not a transformational figure. It seems that ever since Reagan's campaign for the US to adopt metrics some Arizona interstates have been using kilometers on their signs and to determine the numbering of the exits. Now they're converting back to miles and some business owners don't like it.
Don't remember Reagan's campaign? You just proved my point. Actually, going by memory without sparing the trouble to look it up, I think it was his Commerce Secretary who probably pushed it. May have been Malcolm Baldridge, who pushed for American industry to rationalize and improve their management in order to catch up with the Japanese in quality.
A certain breed of liberals, one with which I have a lot of sympathy, and a certain breed of businessperson have some things in common: most notably a faith in reason to improve human affairs. The business people tend to favor big business, often with a little cooperation thrown in (otherwise known as "trusts", "cartels" "restraint of trade", etc.) They were, in my youth, the country club Republicans who thought Barry Goldwater was too extreme and much preferred the Nelson Rockefeller, Bill Scranton brand of Republicanism. The liberals take the same faith in human reason and the ability of people to run big organizations and put it to work in government.
Don't remember Reagan's campaign? You just proved my point. Actually, going by memory without sparing the trouble to look it up, I think it was his Commerce Secretary who probably pushed it. May have been Malcolm Baldridge, who pushed for American industry to rationalize and improve their management in order to catch up with the Japanese in quality.
A certain breed of liberals, one with which I have a lot of sympathy, and a certain breed of businessperson have some things in common: most notably a faith in reason to improve human affairs. The business people tend to favor big business, often with a little cooperation thrown in (otherwise known as "trusts", "cartels" "restraint of trade", etc.) They were, in my youth, the country club Republicans who thought Barry Goldwater was too extreme and much preferred the Nelson Rockefeller, Bill Scranton brand of Republicanism. The liberals take the same faith in human reason and the ability of people to run big organizations and put it to work in government.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Sometimes You Have to Acknowledge the Power of Markets
Technology Review says we may have a space bubble
What Is Good Housing?
Little house on the prairie really was little: 12' x 12'. See Wilder's homestead claim at National Archives.
Distribution Software and the Egg Recall: Blame It on the Railroads
Here's an interesting post on the distribution process for eggs. I got an email from the author I guess because I'd posted on eggs and the salmonella recall. The anti-NAIS people won't like this bit:
In fact, some industry groups are advocating for recall planning guidelines, such as the Produce Traceability Initiative (PTI). The PTI’s ultimate goal is supply chain-wide adoption of electronic traceability for every case of produce by the year 2012.
By contrast, see this post which questions FDA's approval of certain salmon, on the basis FDA can't track eggs.
By contrast, see this post which questions FDA's approval of certain salmon, on the basis FDA can't track eggs.
Monday, September 13, 2010
Are Republicans Different?
I generally assume that there's a good deal of symmetry in American politics with a normal distribution curve. In other words, both right and left have their extremes, their nuts, their excesses, and we all have our blindnesses. I still think it's a good assumption, good to moderate my tendency to self-righteousness, the feeling I know better. But,as Kevin Drum notes, over the past 10 years the sorting process whereby political partisans listen to their favorite cable news channel worked more strongly for Republicans than Democrats. I don't understand why, if my operating assumption is true.
Are We a Center-Right Nation?
That's the conventional wisdom among many of the bloggers/columnists I follow. Pollsters seem to suggest the same: there are more conservatives than liberals. But my memory says that two or three times in my lifetime one party has had 60 or more Senate seats, each time the Democrats. Why is that, if we are center-right?
MIDAS, GAO and Enterprise Architecture
A recent GAO report on "Enterprise Architecture" shows why agencies like USDA have problems with their IT projects. I quote one sentence from the summary:
The framework consists of three interrelated components: (1) seven hierarchical stages of management maturity; (2) four representations of management attributes that are critical to the success of any program or organizational endeavor; and (3) 59 elements, or building blocks, of EA management that are at the core of an EA program.My point is, this sort of language quickly turns off the policy and program people, who just happen to be the ones who have to make the decisions. What decisions might management have to make for MIDAS?
- what's the time frame, both for implementation and for use of the product?
- how secure is the funding and, if insecure, should the project be structured accordingly (i.e., incrementally rather than globally)?
- which FSA programs will continue over the time frame and which will be changed, discontinued, etc.?
- to what extent should FSA support RMA and crop insurance and what support can it expect from RMA
- to what extent should FSA support NRCS and what support can it expect from NRCS?
- to what extent should FSA support RD, Extension Service, APHIS, NASS?
- to what extent should FSA GIS layers be pushed into public and other governmental areas
- should FSA focus on the most efficient delivery of benefits to farmers, regardless of the impact on county offices, or should it give priority to face-to-face contact with farmers at the local offices?
- should the focus be on maximum use of Government 2.0 techniques, or is there a misfit between current personnel and work patterns and such techniques?
- how seriously should FSA take Obama administration directives (on transparency, etc.)
Buffett and Rhee on Improving Education
Courtland Milloy passes on this bit of wisdom from Mr. Buffett via Ms. Rhee: the way immediately to improve our schools is to outlaw private schools and then use a lottery to determine which school each student attends.
Works for me, but totally impossible to adopt. Though back in the old days of the one-room schoolhouse, that was basically what happened. Everyone in the area got the same educational opportunity.
Works for me, but totally impossible to adopt. Though back in the old days of the one-room schoolhouse, that was basically what happened. Everyone in the area got the same educational opportunity.
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Is Your Work Worth $1.2 Million?
That's what law firm partners in DC bill, $600 an hour according to Orin Kerr at Volokh passing on a study. I'm giving them a break by saying they only bill 2,000 hours a year. (Indeed, one commenter says they can bill 5,000 hours easily.) I'm not sure what a government lawyer gets, but it can't be more than 15 percent of that.
This disparity could explain why corporationsalways sometimes outmaneuver the federal government. What it doesn't explain, indeed it aggravates the mystery, is why the right claims federal government employees are so vastly overpaid.
This disparity could explain why corporations
Saturday, September 11, 2010
How Smart Phones Will Drive Down Healthcare Costs
I think it's reasonable to say we're only just realizing how much of a game changer the smart phone can be. By combining computer, camera, sound, and Internet in one small package it opens up new possibilities. One of them seems to be health care. Federal Computer Weekly has posts on using smart phones for general outreach, for remote dermatology and for mental health. Now much of this is probably boys with toys seeing nails everywhere to use their new hammers on, but out of many ideas will come some worthwhile innovations.
Obviously one of the big holdbacks for this is geezerdom: us old folks who haven't bought a smart phone yet and who generally are technologically backward. What's worse is there's probably a high correlation between lack of adoption and iffy health. (Though maybe not, I think I remember seeing that adoption of cell phones is higher among minorities. So maybe it's the old WASP geezers in the hills of Appalachia like those I grew up amongst who are most resistant.)
One of the big advantages would be outsourcing the emergency room. See Megan McArdle's post I referenced here.
Obviously one of the big holdbacks for this is geezerdom: us old folks who haven't bought a smart phone yet and who generally are technologically backward. What's worse is there's probably a high correlation between lack of adoption and iffy health. (Though maybe not, I think I remember seeing that adoption of cell phones is higher among minorities. So maybe it's the old WASP geezers in the hills of Appalachia like those I grew up amongst who are most resistant.)
One of the big advantages would be outsourcing the emergency room. See Megan McArdle's post I referenced here.
Sugar Alert: Cuteness Ahead
What's cuter than a red-headed kid? How about threered-headed kids? What's cuter than three red-headed kids? How about a kitten? What's cuter than one kitten? How about several kittens? What's cuter than several kitttens? How about several kittens and red-headed kids?
Organic Growth in Bricks and Mortar
Organic Valley, an organic cooperative, is expanding its headquarters. Hype is easy, bricks and mortar are hard.
Friday, September 10, 2010
Government Shutdowns--Memories of the Last One
Bloggers and others are starting to pay attention to the possibility that, with the Republicans winning the House and maybe the Senate in November, the next step would be a government shutdown based on a fight between the Reps and the President over budget issues.
I was still working during the shutdowns when Clinton and Gingrich faced off, riding a vanpool in from Reston. As it turned out, the pool included a mixture. Some people always went to work. My memory is vague, but I think one guy worked for a section of the Agricultural Marketing Service which was funded by fees, so the lack of appropriations bills had no impact on him. Then there were several different appropriations bills being considered under different time schedules. I think Justice got funded pretty quickly; Newt decided that cutting off funds for prisons and law enforcement wasn't good politics and I think one of our riders worked for DOJ. The rest of the pool came back to work in a couple of phases, USDA was deemed more essential than some other people (maybe Interior).
Shutting down the government always makes for interesting theater and politics.
I was still working during the shutdowns when Clinton and Gingrich faced off, riding a vanpool in from Reston. As it turned out, the pool included a mixture. Some people always went to work. My memory is vague, but I think one guy worked for a section of the Agricultural Marketing Service which was funded by fees, so the lack of appropriations bills had no impact on him. Then there were several different appropriations bills being considered under different time schedules. I think Justice got funded pretty quickly; Newt decided that cutting off funds for prisons and law enforcement wasn't good politics and I think one of our riders worked for DOJ. The rest of the pool came back to work in a couple of phases, USDA was deemed more essential than some other people (maybe Interior).
Shutting down the government always makes for interesting theater and politics.
Bureaucracy and Innovation
Watched Tora Tora Tora the other night from Netflix. It's a reminder of the problems of bureaucracy and innovation.
For bureaucracy, although Naval Intelligence had broken the Japanese diplomatic code, which led Gen. Marshall to send a telegram to all Pacific posts, the military communications link to Hawaii was out, not having been upgraded to be as reliable as commercial telegraphy, so the telegram went commercial, which delayed receipt.
For innovation, the problems in establishing the standard operating procedures for the new radar installation and its supporting communications and analysis structure. It's easier to innovate than to integrate the new into the existing structures.
For bureaucracy, although Naval Intelligence had broken the Japanese diplomatic code, which led Gen. Marshall to send a telegram to all Pacific posts, the military communications link to Hawaii was out, not having been upgraded to be as reliable as commercial telegraphy, so the telegram went commercial, which delayed receipt.
For innovation, the problems in establishing the standard operating procedures for the new radar installation and its supporting communications and analysis structure. It's easier to innovate than to integrate the new into the existing structures.
Burning the Pope in Effigy
Some of my ancestors came from Ulster, where lives the Orange Order. One of the tenets of the Orange Order was an unremitting fight against Popery. So this post in Religion in American History, recalling a little-known order of General Washington, condemning the burning of the Pope in effigy, was interesting to me. (The context: early in the Revolution its leaders hoped to get Canada, i.e., Quebec, to join the rebellion.)
Thursday, September 09, 2010
The Growth of Government
Calculated Risk provides graphs which show exactly how greatly government has expanded since 1976, as expressed in terms of employment as a percent of total employment. This is partial followon to a post at Econbrowser. (I'll give the commenters who expressed disbelief one valid point: contractors are excluded from the statistics.
Hollywood and Title Inflation
One of the things people like Paul Light find is the inflation of bureaucratic titles in DC. Secretary Gates has promised to cut the number of Deputy Assistant Secretaries in DOD. Wife and I saw The American (we like George Clooney and Italian scenery) today. I was amused to see a number of credits along the lines of "second second assistant director".
We Don't Know Him
Ruth Marcus has an op-ed commenting on Haley Barbour's comments on Obama, the one where he said: we know the least about him of any President. She correctly says: the point is, we don't know anyone like Obama. I'd expand that--he doesn't fit into familiar narratives. For past Presidents, we have a handy label/narrative we can apply: GWBush, frat boy cheerleader; Clinton, fat boy band leader with alcoholic stepfather; GWHBush, WASP aristo; Reagan, frat boy with alcoholic father; Carter, engineer nerd peanut farmer; etc. etc
We recognize these stereotypes/narratives don't represent the whole man; they're unfair. But I suspect partisans on both sides would agree there's a key element of truth in them. They give us a handle on the reality. With Obama the anti people are reacting as I did with Reagan (my person label for him was the "senior idiot").
We recognize these stereotypes/narratives don't represent the whole man; they're unfair. But I suspect partisans on both sides would agree there's a key element of truth in them. They give us a handle on the reality. With Obama the anti people are reacting as I did with Reagan (my person label for him was the "senior idiot").
Wednesday, September 08, 2010
Food Price Trends
Matt Yglesias comments on a David Leonhardt article on housing costs; Leonhardt sees the issue as whether housing is a luxury or a utility. If the former, then prices might rise; if the latter, prices will track other necessities.It's an interesting article which has also attracted comments from other bloggers. One in particular was saying "housing" combined houses and land, and most of the appreciation was in land. {UPdated: Kevin Drum comments. One thing I haven't seen discussed is the increase in square footage for housing over the period.]
But all that is a side issue to me, because there's an associated graph of the proportion of household income by category over the last 80 years. Basically clothing and food had their peaks in 1947 or so, with a consistent decline in each to the present (a bit steeper for food than clothing). Meanwhile health care costs have been rising steadily since 1947. The changes in both food and health care are astonishing.
But all that is a side issue to me, because there's an associated graph of the proportion of household income by category over the last 80 years. Basically clothing and food had their peaks in 1947 or so, with a consistent decline in each to the present (a bit steeper for food than clothing). Meanwhile health care costs have been rising steadily since 1947. The changes in both food and health care are astonishing.
Tuesday, September 07, 2010
A Bureaucrat to be Complimented
The head of the National Archives and Records Administration acknowledges his agency ranked lowest in employee satisfaction, in a press release. You can't fix a problem if you don't recognize it.
Eggs and Cage -Free Hens and Dirt
The Washington Post runs an article on caged and cage-free hens, tied in with the salmonella problem. It's accompanied by a photo, which I don't see on the website, showing hens in a row of nests. The photo called up memories, and thoughts. (Here's a link to a similar photo, found through Google Images.) The article said currently cage-free eggs are about twice the cost of cage eggs, and even with mass production the cost differential would still be 25 percent more.
Some points for anyone who didn't have a close association with hens growing up:
One final note: if you look at the photo, you'll see someone who is collecting eggs will have to lift the hens in the nest to see if they're sitting on eggs already laid. Now hens vary in their personality; some are timid, some aggressive in protecting the eggs, and some are from hell. The latter ones will grab a fold of skin on the back of your hand in their beak and pull and twist. Not a nice feeling. I still feel the anger from 60 years ago.
Some points for anyone who didn't have a close association with hens growing up:
- cages permit total control over the hen. You can use conveyor belts to bring grain to the hen, pipe in water to the waterer, and allow the eggs to roll into another conveyor belt. The manure drops through the cage bottom Presto: eggs untouched by human hands.
- cage-free hens who lay eggs in nests, as in the picture, are an entirely different matter. Someone has to collect the eggs from the nests. Because eggs are laid throughout the day, although more heavily in the early hours of the day, the eggs need to be collected multiple times a day. Why not just once? Because eggs are fragile; the more eggs you have in a nest the more likely the next egg laid is going to drop on an egg already in the nest and one or both eggs get cracked. That's bad for several reasons: you've lost one or two eggs; if the break is bad enough the white of the egg gets out and spreads over any other uncracked eggs in the nest, you've now got dirty eggs which are hard to clean; finally, if a hen tries pecking at the white/egg and finds it good, which they do, you're training a hen to peck at eggs to get the contents.
- even if you collect the eggs often enough to avoid breakage, you face another problem not found in cages: manure. Hens are not naturally fastidious and will defecate in their nests. That means some percentage of the eggs collected have manure clinging to them, sometimes really staining the shell. So after the eggs are collected you need to clean the eggs. Growing up cleaning eggs was my mother's job, which she did manually. Could take 90 minutes or so to do 900 eggs. If she was sick, we could use an early egg cleaning machine, which was faster than I or my father.
One final note: if you look at the photo, you'll see someone who is collecting eggs will have to lift the hens in the nest to see if they're sitting on eggs already laid. Now hens vary in their personality; some are timid, some aggressive in protecting the eggs, and some are from hell. The latter ones will grab a fold of skin on the back of your hand in their beak and pull and twist. Not a nice feeling. I still feel the anger from 60 years ago.
Sentence of Sept 7
"People who thought that we could end unnecessary ER visits by expanding access to primary care underestimated the vast reserves of American health paranoia." From Megan McArdle Not sure I agree with the implications, but it's a good sentence.
Monday, September 06, 2010
Congressional Websites Are Like the Executive Branch's?
Some paragraphs from a critique of Congressional websites (and this)
Seems to me the same things could be said of many government websites, particularly those I see at USDA. I'm not sure, though, how much involvement the public really wants with government.
Incumbents are locked into a website design, and sites that were rated as high quality one year typically dropped the following year, according to the report. Congressional offices also tended not to ask constituents what they want to see on their representatives' or senators' sites. "The problem with most political websites ... is they are producer-focused," said Marc Cooper, associate professor of communication at the University of Southern California.
The sites carry information about elected officials, but they don't provide a way for the constituents to communicate with them, he said. The Web pages also don't offer a lot of incentives to visitors to explore the online information. "They don't have a reason for you to continue to be there as a participant on the site," Cooper said. "Once you get the information, there's nothing left for you to do."
While congressional members often believe their sites are cutting edge, the sites often are not engaging or transparent, he added.
Seems to me the same things could be said of many government websites, particularly those I see at USDA. I'm not sure, though, how much involvement the public really wants with government.
Farm Bill and the Elections
Farm Policy today has some discussion of the 2012 farm bill by Chairman Peterson and the Iowa Farm Bureau. Of course, the results of the November elections will have a big impact on the bill. The Republicans may find themselves forced to go against their base to carry out some of their promises. It seems to me the Republicans are usually supportive of farm programs. If cutting expenditures is the platform they win on in 2010, then they can't simply extend farm programs in the next farm bill. We'll see.
Down With Tenured Eggheads
Dan Drezner finds no surge of hostility towards tenured professors. I thought I'd supply some. If government bureaucrats are going to be scorned for their job security, so too should those eggheads in ivory towers.
Government's Achievements
No oil slicks around the Statue of Liberty recently. See this photo (from early 70's)
It's easy to forget, except sometimes for geezers.
It's easy to forget, except sometimes for geezers.
Sunday, September 05, 2010
King and Beck--Taylor Branch
Taylor Branch has an op-ed piece in the Times today which I think is consistent with my post here. There's a process of building a shared mythology which Glenn Beck is participating in by buying into MLK's myth. Branch, a biographer of King and a friend of Bill Clinton, gives some background to the whole thing.
Surprising Factoid of the Day
From a NY Times book review of a history of the battle of Cannae:
"The battle is unparalleled for its carnage, with more men from a single army killed on that one day, Aug. 2, 216 B.C., than on any other day on any other European battlefield: something like 50,000 Romans died, two and a half times the number of British soldiers who fell on the first day of the Somme."There's the observation that each of these man had to be stabbed, hacked or beaten to death. Makes one think.
Saturday, September 04, 2010
So Much for the Mediterranean Diet
Matt Yglesias provides an international comparison of BMI's (body-mass-index) figures. Greece is right up there, if far from the U.S. measure of amplitude. Last I looked Greece had a Mediterranean diet. And what's more, they're not on the list of countries with McDonalds
Klein: Better One or Better Two?
Ezra Klein has found a great metaphor for how we should think about politics: the eye exam. Anyone unfortunate enough to have to be fitted with glasses knows the routine: after trying to read the eye chart without glasses, and misreading the "E" as "P", the optometrist inserts a lens in front of your eye, has you read down some lines, then starts the comparison routine, quickly switching between two lenses and asking: "better one or better two?" [Note: Klein uses the ophthalmologist, but optometrist is easier to spell.]
That's mostly how we need to think about many political and social issues. For example, evaluating teachers. Is it better not to evaluate or to evaluate by having the principal monitor the class a couple times a year? Is looking at class test scores better than principal monitoring, or worse? Is a combo of test scores and monitoring better than either alone. Is looking at "value-added" scores better than raw scores? etc. etc.
That's mostly how we need to think about many political and social issues. For example, evaluating teachers. Is it better not to evaluate or to evaluate by having the principal monitor the class a couple times a year? Is looking at class test scores better than principal monitoring, or worse? Is a combo of test scores and monitoring better than either alone. Is looking at "value-added" scores better than raw scores? etc. etc.
Friday, September 03, 2010
True Ugliness
Via Marginal Revolutions, those carpets had better stay in Vegas. I wouldn't be surprised if the poor workers who ran the looms to weave the carpets and the installers both didn't have to put in for workmen's compensation.
Changing Literary Tastes
A relative mentioned she needed to decide what to do with the set of Harvard Classics her father had bought. That led me to Google it, and also The Great Books of the Western World which I vaguely remember being advertised in the Saturday Review of Literature when I was growing up. (I wanted to assure her that everything would be available for free for download to her Kindle.) If you skim over the listings, you find only one Twain short story in the Harvard Classics and no Melville at all. James is represented by The Portrait of a Lady. That fits my memory, which is Twain was regarded as a children's author. The Great Books, which represent more of an 1950's establishment version, include Huckleberry Finn and Moby Dick, showing the change in opinion in the first half of the century.
Gingrich Agrees With Me
I suggested resolving the mosque controversy by eminent domain. Newt proposes making the area a national battlefield memorial. :-) I'm sure he's never heard of me and didn't know my tongue was in my cheek. But what has the world come to when the leader of the revolution of 1994 opts for government solutions?
Thursday, September 02, 2010
Parking Regulations
Some bogs (Yglesias, Klein, now Drum) are discussing regulations requiring parking when a building is erected. It's perceived as encouraging sprawl, locking society into dependence on the car, and adversely impacting the environment.
It's not a topic I've thought much about, but in a way it could be seen as the feudalization of society. In feudal society, each manor relied on its own forces for self-defense. With parking requirements, community parking is de-emphasized, each building has its own.
It's not a topic I've thought much about, but in a way it could be seen as the feudalization of society. In feudal society, each manor relied on its own forces for self-defense. With parking requirements, community parking is de-emphasized, each building has its own.
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Reactions to the MIDAS Project-I (Old History)
I've listened to the first hour or so of the first day's program introducing the MIDAS program for FSA. I've some reactions to it, which may spread over multiple posts.
One of the speakers, either the Administrator or Mr. Hanley, said MIDAS is the first time FSA has looked in depth at its operations since 1985. One of the problems with government bureaucracies is, because of the turnover of political appointees there's a loss of historical memory. ASCS/FSA has a long history of looking at itself, either singly or in conjunction with other agencies. The successes are few and far between. Let me reminisce:
The first project I ran into after joining ASCS was a data project, led by Alan Morrison. Didn't go anywhere.
Then in 1970-71 we had the Management Analysis Project, which looked at all ASCS operations across the board. I got roped in pushing papers around and managing the library of documentation. I'm sure some changes were made in some processes because of the studies, but not much. It was notable for establishing task forces on various areas without any plan for how to handle their recommendations.
Next, a couple years later, came Bill Ruble's project to automate county offices by putting dumb terminals in county offices, hooked to the mainframes in Kansas City. A county office in Mississippi got some terminals and started data loading before it blew up, partially because of cost, partially because people were concerned about privacy of data. (The Privacy Act was passed in 1974, I think.) This was back in the day when the disk drives were the size of an air conditioning unit and held 7.5 megs.
The next project I remember was Jim Dimwiddie's successful IBM System-36 project, which started putting computers in county offices in 1985, based on work done in 1984. I was on one of the task forces. You've got to give Jim a little credit for putting over the project; you've got to give county offices a lot of credit for surviving the hell we put them through. (Lesson learned: never do a big automation project at the same time you're implementing a new farm bill, particularly when Gramm-Rudman-Hollings reductions come into play.)
Once we had System/36's in the offices, we almost immediately started running out of space. I think the first ones had a hard drive of around 200 megs for the smallest one. Big concerns about our outgrowing the System/36 led to the Trail Boss effort of Chris Niedermayer. ("Trail Boss" was a GSA concept, with OMB and GAO approval, for handling big automation projects.) He started work around 1989 with a big team. The methodology was "information engineering", as embodied by James Martin. It was an elaborate, well planned effort, which took so long it produced little, because when the Dems came into office Chris had antagonized some, and his patron had antagonized most. We did get some mailing software done, which was useful. (Lesson: big projects tend to run out of impetus and support before they produce results.) (Chris bounced up to USDA It shop, and most recently is deputy CIO for HUD.)
Secretary Madigan in mid -1991 initiated the Department's Info-Share project. Part of the effort was to consolidate county offices and co-locate the USDA offices in each county (SCS, ASCS, FmHA, Extension). The other parts of the effort were trying to share data among the agencies and to make them work together. I was involved in pilots with county offices in Kansas and in Mississippi where the different agencies shared PC's hooked to a Sun server and provided on-line access to the handful of farmers with PC's. (Note that Madigan's effort was happening at the same time as the Niedermayer effort. Madigan got the bee in his bonnet without knowing what was happening in ASCS, or in SCS for that matter. Lesson: in a place as big as USDA it's hard to do change rationally.)
Info Share stumbled in the summer and fall of 1992, then went into limbo as the new administration took over. After a while it resumed for a while, but without much success. By this time the new buzzword in IT systems was "business process reengineering". Rather than looking at the data and getting it rationally organized, you looked at processes, figuring the data would handle itself. (Lesson: big IT projects tend to fall victim to the latest style being pushed by the private consultants hoping to make money off the government. As ex-Sen Simpson might say: to suck the government tit.)
In 1994 Congress reorganized the agencies, changing SCS to NRCS, splitting FmHA between ASCS, now called FSA, and the new Rural Development, into which the Rural Electrification Administration was folded.
After Secretary Espy left and Glickman came in, Greg Carnill became leader of what was now called the "service center" effort. This evolved in part to an attempt was to combine the administrative support for NRCS, FSA, and RD into one organization. Unfortunately this was killed in Congress due to opposition from partisans of the different agencies. (Lesson: any attempt to rationalize USDA organization must win the support of the appropriate Congressional bigshots and the special interests who whisper in their ears.
Before I retired we did get started on some changes to the FSA name and address system which were worthwhile. (Lesson: if a bureaucrat leaves, the successors will have their own ideas.) And the people who worked on GIS for FSA/NRCS did implement the common land unit layer. Whether what was accomplished actually helped the county offices and the farmers they serve is an open question.
One of the speakers, either the Administrator or Mr. Hanley, said MIDAS is the first time FSA has looked in depth at its operations since 1985. One of the problems with government bureaucracies is, because of the turnover of political appointees there's a loss of historical memory. ASCS/FSA has a long history of looking at itself, either singly or in conjunction with other agencies. The successes are few and far between. Let me reminisce:
The first project I ran into after joining ASCS was a data project, led by Alan Morrison. Didn't go anywhere.
Then in 1970-71 we had the Management Analysis Project, which looked at all ASCS operations across the board. I got roped in pushing papers around and managing the library of documentation. I'm sure some changes were made in some processes because of the studies, but not much. It was notable for establishing task forces on various areas without any plan for how to handle their recommendations.
Next, a couple years later, came Bill Ruble's project to automate county offices by putting dumb terminals in county offices, hooked to the mainframes in Kansas City. A county office in Mississippi got some terminals and started data loading before it blew up, partially because of cost, partially because people were concerned about privacy of data. (The Privacy Act was passed in 1974, I think.) This was back in the day when the disk drives were the size of an air conditioning unit and held 7.5 megs.
The next project I remember was Jim Dimwiddie's successful IBM System-36 project, which started putting computers in county offices in 1985, based on work done in 1984. I was on one of the task forces. You've got to give Jim a little credit for putting over the project; you've got to give county offices a lot of credit for surviving the hell we put them through. (Lesson learned: never do a big automation project at the same time you're implementing a new farm bill, particularly when Gramm-Rudman-Hollings reductions come into play.)
Once we had System/36's in the offices, we almost immediately started running out of space. I think the first ones had a hard drive of around 200 megs for the smallest one. Big concerns about our outgrowing the System/36 led to the Trail Boss effort of Chris Niedermayer. ("Trail Boss" was a GSA concept, with OMB and GAO approval, for handling big automation projects.) He started work around 1989 with a big team. The methodology was "information engineering", as embodied by James Martin. It was an elaborate, well planned effort, which took so long it produced little, because when the Dems came into office Chris had antagonized some, and his patron had antagonized most. We did get some mailing software done, which was useful. (Lesson: big projects tend to run out of impetus and support before they produce results.) (Chris bounced up to USDA It shop, and most recently is deputy CIO for HUD.)
Secretary Madigan in mid -1991 initiated the Department's Info-Share project. Part of the effort was to consolidate county offices and co-locate the USDA offices in each county (SCS, ASCS, FmHA, Extension). The other parts of the effort were trying to share data among the agencies and to make them work together. I was involved in pilots with county offices in Kansas and in Mississippi where the different agencies shared PC's hooked to a Sun server and provided on-line access to the handful of farmers with PC's. (Note that Madigan's effort was happening at the same time as the Niedermayer effort. Madigan got the bee in his bonnet without knowing what was happening in ASCS, or in SCS for that matter. Lesson: in a place as big as USDA it's hard to do change rationally.)
Info Share stumbled in the summer and fall of 1992, then went into limbo as the new administration took over. After a while it resumed for a while, but without much success. By this time the new buzzword in IT systems was "business process reengineering". Rather than looking at the data and getting it rationally organized, you looked at processes, figuring the data would handle itself. (Lesson: big IT projects tend to fall victim to the latest style being pushed by the private consultants hoping to make money off the government. As ex-Sen Simpson might say: to suck the government tit.)
In 1994 Congress reorganized the agencies, changing SCS to NRCS, splitting FmHA between ASCS, now called FSA, and the new Rural Development, into which the Rural Electrification Administration was folded.
After Secretary Espy left and Glickman came in, Greg Carnill became leader of what was now called the "service center" effort. This evolved in part to an attempt was to combine the administrative support for NRCS, FSA, and RD into one organization. Unfortunately this was killed in Congress due to opposition from partisans of the different agencies. (Lesson: any attempt to rationalize USDA organization must win the support of the appropriate Congressional bigshots and the special interests who whisper in their ears.
Before I retired we did get started on some changes to the FSA name and address system which were worthwhile. (Lesson: if a bureaucrat leaves, the successors will have their own ideas.) And the people who worked on GIS for FSA/NRCS did implement the common land unit layer. Whether what was accomplished actually helped the county offices and the farmers they serve is an open question.
How Blind I Was
When I left FSA, I thought Russia would really ramp up production since the Communists were gone and we'd be seeing surpluses again. Via Ezra Klein, this Economist article explains why it was Brazil which has become a powerhouse in recent years and how they did it. (Short answer: brains/science.) Recommended for anyone interested in agriculture.
New Orleans Factoids
From various news reports on the 5th anniversary of Katrina I assembled these factoids:
- there are 300 more restaurants than before, I'm not sure why. There's more Hispanics in the area so presumably some new restaurants came about from that. This also probably ties into the fact that entrepreneurship in the area is up.
- New Orleanians are now more likely to attend public meetings than other Americans. Apparently because of the problems in getting aid, people have become skeptical of outside planners and therefore like to participate in meetings to give them a grilling.
- reconstruction in the lower Ninth ward has encountered problems because title to many homes are confused. It seems the pattern was for someone to build or buy early in the 20th century, then to die intestate, thereby leaving the property to all the children. Repeat this another time or too and titles become unclear. It's the same sort of thing which has caused many Southern farmers, particularly blacks, to lose their land.
- there have been gains since Katrina, particularly in the public schools.
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Dan Zak on the Gentrifying District.
Dan Zak covers 24 hours in the life of a restaurant in Northeast. His good article is focused on the new diner there, owned by an analyst for the Justice Department. There's a nice bit about a family in town for the Beck rally, who stop there for a meal and about whom the owner worries (and tracks back to their rental to be sure they're safe).
On a somewhat related note, Matt Yglesias has a post on gentrification and why it's disruptive.
On a somewhat related note, Matt Yglesias has a post on gentrification and why it's disruptive.
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