Farmers Don't Get No Respect

Brad DeLong has a list of six things people in the year 3000 will remember about the last 300 years and the next 300 year:

"Universal literacy.

1. Artificial birth control.
2. The coming of the Replicator--or close enough--for foodstuffs and for things made out of metal, wood, plastic, and sound.
3. The coming of information technology in whatever its flowering will be.
4. The death of global distance.
5. Plus whatever disasters lurk at the bottom of not the Pandoran but the Promethean Box of 1700-2300.

His list is in response to another economist with a different list.

Neither list credits the importance of the various agricultural revolutions, both as enabling the explosion of population and the expansion of non-subsistence labor, the ability to spend time on things other than feeding and clothing oneself..  Agriculture these days is such a small part of the economy it doesn't get much attention in public discussions.

Cops and the 80/20 Rule

Looks like the 80/20 rule operates with respect to the police.  In other words, most cops do their jobs without major conflict with the citizens, some don't.  That's based on Moskos "Cop in the Hood" blog post on NYC statistics.

Government Web Sites

Finally there's some metrics on government web sites.  The analytics site shows the number of visitors to the top government web sites.  I'm surprised to see the main USDA site among the most popular (after weather, SSA, immigration, IRS, etc.) It's a small step forward.

TR Was Six, How Old Is DT?

It was said of Theodore Roosevelt that one must remember he was about six.

From McCullough on PBS:

One of his friends, the English diplomat Cecil Spring Rice, once said, "The thing you have to remember about the President is he's about six." Woodrow Wilson called him a "great big boy". He went off later in life, after leaving the White House, on a very dangerous, very risky adventure in South America, and when they asked him why he was doing it at his age, he said, "It's my last chance to be a boy again."

From Kevin Drum, towards the end of a post on Donald Trump's unfavorable comments about Ms Fiorina's looks:

You wouldn't be surprised to hear a first-grader get all giggly over childish insults about his teacher, would you? That's what first graders do. At age 69, that's still what Donald Trump does too.

EU Agriculture Subsidies Inadequate?

The EU has more subsidies for agriculture than the US, but the Ulster dairy farmers believe they're not enough. Ulster exports its milk and the strong pound/weak euro relationship hurts, as does the EU embargo on Russia over Ukraine.  It's a complicated world out there.

Live by the E.O., Die by the E.O.

"E.O." stands for executive order, which is one* of the ways Obama and the Democrats are bypassing the mostly deadlocked Congress.  The latest instance was Obama's order yesterday requiring federal contractors to provide paid sick leave.

I agree with Obama's goals but the means are not the most desirable.  What happens to Obama's EO's when a Republican president is inaugurated?  By the same authority Obama used to issue the order, the Republican can issue an order to cancel it.  The two parties have played this game for 30 years or more on abortion and foreign countries; it's one of the first things a new President does--reverse the EO on federal money, abortion, and foreign aid (too lazy to look up the provision, but I think it's the "Mexico City policy").

Now abortion can be a special case, since it continues to be a hot button issue.  It's quite possible that federal contractors won't care by the time the next Republican president is inaugurated and Obama's EO will stand.  But the ideology of the issue is clear.  A Democrat is imposing a new governmental burden on private enterprise and I, the Republican determined to battle for less government, use reversing Obama's EO as a symbol of my determination.


* Regulations are the other way, but I'll save that for another day.

Haying in the Lake District, UK

Reading James Rebanks "A Shepherd's Life".  

Rebanks' family liveds in the Lake District, mostly raising sheep on the "fells" (mountains).  I'm halfway through and enjoying it. What struck was his description of haying in the fields on the valley floors, particularly one year when it rained so much the hay was entirely ruined.  Any dairy farmer in the Northeast could  feel the pain.

But apparently English hay is more productive than upstate NY hay, or else the humidity in summer is a lot worse.  He writes of having to "turn" the hay two or three times to ensure proper drying.  That seems a lot, though I have to admit our hay fields were not the best.  But I hired out a couple summers and didn't see any hay fields much more productive.  

At another point--he writes as if the farm is on the smallish side, but also mentions "thousands" of bales of hay.

It's almost always interesting to read about the lives of farmers in other places. 

Soft-Hearted Feds and Trump

According to this Politico piece on Donald Trump's wars with local officials in Palm Beach, he was able to buy a $10 million mansion (Mar-A-Lago) for less than $3,000 down payment.

No wonder The Donald doesn't respect us.

Read the piece--it's fun.

Reality Bites: "nothing is ever where it says it’s supposed to be"

The quote is taken from a Technology Review piece on a brick-laying robot.  The full quote is from a human, not the robot, who observes that the reality on a building site doesn't match what is in the drawings/specs, so one challenge for the robot is to be flexible enough to handle minor deviations (the human bricklayer handles the major ones).

"Irreparable Damage"

Viewers with alarm sometimes use the phrase "[x] caused irreparable damage to [y]."

Sometimes that's true, sometimes it's all water over the dam, or water under the bridge.

I'm sure my relatives and teachers in childhood caused irreparable damage to my prospects of every becoming President.  I merely have to point to the fact that I've never become President and my chances of becoming President are now slightly smaller than the chances of both the Washington Nationals and the Washington Redskins making their playoffs.

My point: "irreparable damage" may often be quite correct, but it is not synonymous with "major damage."